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NBA

Kam Jones

Indiana Pacers

+21.7% Edge
🔥 6 Consecutive Hits
Latest Pick
Points Under 11.5 -222 (1.45)
+21.7% Edge
Indiana Pacers @ Cleveland Cavaliers
Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, Cleveland
Sun 5 Apr, 10:00PM
Model Probability
90.7%
Implied Probability
69.0%
Model Edge
+21.7%
Predicted Value
3.8 Points

AI Analysis

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Kam Jones (Indiana Pacers) Under 11.5 Points (-222)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Indiana Pacers gear up to face the Cleveland Cavaliers, all eyes will be on Kam Jones, but not for the reasons you might think. With a points prop set at 11.5, there's solid reason to consider the under. Over the last six games, Jones has been under that mark consistently, hitting it just six times. When he's on the road, his performance drops even further-he's only eclipsed 11.5 points in his last four away games, showcasing a troubling trend. The Cavaliers are no slouches defensively, often stifling opponents' scoring efforts, and with Jones's expected stat value hovering around 3.84, it's clear that the matchup isn't in his favor. At a hefty implied probability of 69%, it seems the smart play here is to lean into the under and trust that Jones continues his downward trend in points.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (1 picks) 0.0% (0/1)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
03 Apr 26 Indiana Pacers @ Charlotte Hornets Assists 4.5 Under +122 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Kam Jones (Indiana Pacers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 1 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 0.0% (0/1). Kam Jones is currently on a 6-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Kam Jones is Under 11.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +21.7% on this pick. Their next game is Indiana Pacers vs Cleveland Cavaliers on Sunday 5 April at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, Cleveland. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.