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Keon Ellis

Sacramento Kings

+12.4% Edge
Latest Pick
Points Over 5.5 -132 (1.76)
+12.4% Edge
Cleveland Cavaliers @ Orlando Magic
Kia Center, Orlando
Wed 11 Mar, 11:30PM
Model Probability
69.2%
Implied Probability
56.8%
Model Edge
+12.4%
Predicted Value
8.5 Points

AI Analysis

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Keon Ellis (Sacramento Kings) Over 5.5 Points (-132)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Orlando Magic take on the Cleveland Cavaliers this Wednesday, all eyes should be on Keon Ellis to soar past the 5.5-point mark. While Ellis averages just over 5 points in his last five games, his performance against the Cavaliers tells a different story-he's been lighting them up for an average of 10.3 points in their recent matchups. This isn't just a fluke; his hit rate has been impressive, going 15 for 20 overall and an even better 16 out of 20 when at home.The Cavaliers have struggled defensively against guards, allowing an average of 9.5 points in similar matchups, which bodes well for Ellis. With an expected stat value of 8.46 and a 56.8% implied probability, it feels like a safe bet that he will step up and deliver in front of the home crowd. Don't sleep on this opportunity-Ellis is ready to shine!

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (1 picks) 100.0% (1/1)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Mar 26 Cleveland Cavaliers @ Orlando Magic Points 5.5 Over -132 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Keon Ellis (Sacramento Kings) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 1 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 100.0% (1/1). The latest model pick for Keon Ellis is Over 5.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.4% on this pick. Their next game is Cleveland Cavaliers vs Orlando Magic on Wednesday 11 March at Kia Center, Orlando. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.