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NBA

Keon Ellis

Cleveland Cavaliers

+18.0% Edge
Latest Pick
3-Pointers Under 2.5 -200 (1.50)
+18.0% Edge
Cleveland Cavaliers @ Memphis Grizzlies
FedExForum, Memphis
Tue 7 Apr, 12:00AM
Model Probability
84.7%
Implied Probability
66.7%
Model Edge
+18.0%
Predicted Value
1.3 3-Pointers

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Keon Ellis (Cleveland Cavaliers) Under 2.5 Threes Made (-200)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Cleveland Cavaliers prepare to face off against the Memphis Grizzlies, all eyes should be on Keon Ellis and his three-point shooting. Bet the under on his total threes made at 2.5. Sure, his recent performances show him hitting over 90% of the time, but let's look deeper. On the road, Ellis has averaged just 0.4 threes made in his last five outings, and against the Grizzlies, that number dips to a mere 0.3. With Memphis' defensive intensity, particularly their perimeter defense, Ellis will face stiff competition. In fact, he typically averages around 1.4 threes overall, but that drops considerably when he's away from home. This matchup screams a low-volume night for him. With an expected stat value of just 1.34, it's clear we're leaning towards the under here-making it a smart play as he adjusts to the tough Memphis environment.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (14 picks) 42.9% (6/14)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
07 Apr 26 Cleveland Cavaliers @ Memphis Grizzlies 3-Pointers 2.5 Under -200 ✗ MISS
07 Apr 26 Cleveland Cavaliers @ Memphis Grizzlies Rebounds 3.5 Under -167 ✓ HIT
07 Apr 26 Cleveland Cavaliers @ Memphis Grizzlies Pts + Rebs + Asts 17.5 Under -123 ✗ MISS
07 Apr 26 Cleveland Cavaliers @ Memphis Grizzlies Pts + Rebs — — — Pending
07 Apr 26 Cleveland Cavaliers @ Memphis Grizzlies Pts + Asts — — — Pending
07 Apr 26 Cleveland Cavaliers @ Memphis Grizzlies Pts + Rebs + Asts — — — Pending

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About This Player

Keon Ellis (Cleveland Cavaliers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 14 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 42.9% (6/14). The latest model pick for Keon Ellis is Under 2.5 on 3-Pointers. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +18.0% on this pick. Their next game is Cleveland Cavaliers vs Memphis Grizzlies on Tuesday 7 April at FedExForum, Memphis. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.