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NBA

LaMelo Ball

Charlotte Hornets

+20.9% Edge
Latest Pick
Points Under 23.5 -108 (1.93)
+20.9% Edge
Charlotte Hornets @ Orlando Magic
Kia Center, Orlando
Fri 17 Apr, 11:30PM
Model Probability
72.7%
Implied Probability
51.8%
Model Edge
+20.9%
Predicted Value
20.0 Points

AI Analysis

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LaMelo Ball (Charlotte Hornets) Under 23.5 Points (-108)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Charlotte Hornets gear up to face the Orlando Magic, LaMelo Ball finds himself in a tricky spot for this matchup. While he's been a scoring machine lately, averaging 29.4 points over his last five games, the reality is he's struggled on the road against the Magic. In fact, his average drops to 19.4 points per game when playing away from home against them. The Magic have a knack for tightening up defensively, especially against explosive guards like Ball. With an overall hit rate of just 8 out of 12 on the points prop and a concerning 15 out of 19 on the road, the signs are pointing toward a lower output for LaMelo. Given these trends, betting on him to stay under 23.5 points seems like a savvy play.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (8 picks) 100.0% (8/8)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
17 Apr 26 Charlotte Hornets @ Orlando Magic Points 23.5 Under -108 ✓ HIT
17 Apr 26 Charlotte Hornets @ Orlando Magic 3-Pointers 4.5 Under -141 ✓ HIT
17 Apr 26 Charlotte Hornets @ Orlando Magic Pts + Rebs + Asts 36.5 Under -109 ✓ HIT
17 Apr 26 Charlotte Hornets @ Orlando Magic Pts + Asts Pending
17 Apr 26 Charlotte Hornets @ Orlando Magic Assists Pending
17 Apr 26 Charlotte Hornets @ Orlando Magic Points Pending

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About This Player

LaMelo Ball (Charlotte Hornets) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 8 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 100.0% (8/8). The latest model pick for LaMelo Ball is Under 23.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.9% on this pick. Their next game is Charlotte Hornets vs Orlando Magic on Friday 17 April at Kia Center, Orlando. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.