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NBA

Marcus Smart

Los Angeles Lakers

+20.0% Edge
🔥 3 Consecutive Hits
Latest Pick
Points Under 10.5 +116 (2.16)
+20.0% Edge
Houston Rockets @ Los Angeles Lakers
Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
Sun 19 Apr, 12:30AM
Model Probability
66.3%
Implied Probability
46.3%
Model Edge
+20.0%
Predicted Value
8.1 Points

AI Analysis

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Marcus Smart (Los Angeles Lakers) Under 10.5 Points (+116)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Lakers gear up to face the Rockets, Marcus Smart's scoring might be a point of contention for bettors. With the line set at 10.5, it's hard to ignore his recent trend, averaging just 6.2 points over his last five games. When playing at home, that number creeps up to 9, but he's still shy of the mark. Smart's history against the Rockets is telling; he's averaged only 7 points in their last five meetings, including just 7 at home. Add in the fact that he's hit the under in 10 of his last 12 home games, and there's reason to be cautious. With an expected stat value of 8.06 and an overall hit rate of 100% on this prop lately, betting under 10.5 points seems like a savvy move in this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (8 picks) 12.5% (1/8)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Apr 26 Houston Rockets @ Los Angeles Lakers Points 10.5 Under +116 ✗ MISS
19 Apr 26 Houston Rockets @ Los Angeles Lakers 3-Pointers 1.5 Under +101 ✓ HIT
19 Apr 26 Houston Rockets @ Los Angeles Lakers Pts + Rebs + Asts 16.5 Under +142 ✗ MISS
19 Apr 26 Houston Rockets @ Los Angeles Lakers Assists Pending
19 Apr 26 Houston Rockets @ Los Angeles Lakers Pts + Asts Pending
19 Apr 26 Houston Rockets @ Los Angeles Lakers Pts + Asts Pending

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About This Player

Marcus Smart (Los Angeles Lakers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 8 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 12.5% (1/8). Marcus Smart is currently on a 3-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Marcus Smart is Under 10.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.0% on this pick. Their next game is Houston Rockets vs Los Angeles Lakers on Sunday 19 April at Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.