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NBA

Marcus Smart

Washington Wizards

+12.4% Edge
Latest Pick
Pts + Asts Over 9.5 -133 (1.75)
+12.4% Edge
Los Angeles Lakers @ Denver Nuggets
Ball Arena, Denver
Fri 6 Mar, 3:00AM
Model Probability
69.5%
Implied Probability
57.1%
Model Edge
+12.4%
Predicted Value
12.8 Pts + Asts

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Marcus Smart (Washington Wizards) Over 9.5 Points + Assists (-133)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Alright, sports betting enthusiasts, it's time to take a good look at Marcus Smart as the Denver Nuggets square off with the Los Angeles Lakers this Friday. Smart has been on a tear lately, averaging around 10.2 points and 3.6 assists per game overall in his last five outings. And when confronted with the Nuggets' defense on their home turf? He merely ups his game. His averages climb to 11.4 points and 4 assists. That's the mark of a player who thrives under pressure. With his track record against the Nuggets specifically, averaging 11.2 points and 5.2 assists, it's clear that Smart's got their number. Smart's performance consistently breaks the 9.5 points + assists barrier, with an impressive 8 out of his last 11 games exceeding that target. So, when you're casting your bets, remember, Marcus Smart's trend suggests he's a smart bet for Over 9.5.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (5 picks) 80.0% (4/5)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
06 Mar 26 Los Angeles Lakers @ Denver Nuggets Pts + Asts 9.5 Over -133 ✓ HIT
02 Mar 26 Sacramento Kings @ Los Angeles Lakers 3-Pointers 2.5 Under -357 ✗ MISS
02 Mar 26 Sacramento Kings @ Los Angeles Lakers Pts + Rebs + Asts 11.5 Over -132 ✓ HIT
02 Mar 26 Sacramento Kings @ Los Angeles Lakers Points — — — Pending
01 Mar 26 Los Angeles Lakers @ Golden State Warriors Pts + Asts — — — Pending

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About This Player

Marcus Smart (Washington Wizards) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 5 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 80.0% (4/5). The latest model pick for Marcus Smart is Over 9.5 on Pts + Asts. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.4% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets on Friday 6 March at Ball Arena, Denver. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.