Jalen Johnson (Atlanta Hawks) Under 20.5 Rebounds + Assists (-278)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Atlanta Hawks gear up to face the New York Knicks, all eyes will be on Jalen Johnson, but a closer look at the numbers suggests a case for taking the under on his combined rebounds and assists of 20.5. Sure, Johnson's been solid lately, averaging 11.2 boards and 5.2 assists over his last five games. However, when he hits the road, his production dips; he's managing just 10 rebounds and 7.4 assists away from home.Against the Knicks specifically, his historical performance shows he averages only 9.8 rebounds and 6 assists in similar matchups. With a hit rate of 8 out of 9 on the road recently, it seems Johnson's more likely to fall short of that 20.5 mark tonight. Given the Knicks' defensive prowess, it's hard to see him breaking out in this one. Take the under and watch the numbers play out.

Mitchell Robinson (New York Knicks) Under 12.5 Rebounds (-500)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Knicks gear up to host the Hawks, all eyes will be on Mitchell Robinson. While he's been a formidable presence in the paint, the numbers suggest a different story when it comes to rebounding against Atlanta. His recent averages have been solid-7.8 rebounds overall and 8.8 at home-but here's where it gets telling: he's only managed an average of 9 boards against the Hawks in their last few encounters at Madison Square Garden.Consider this: Robinson's overall hit rate for hitting the under on 12.5 rebounds is a staggering 11 for 11 in his last games, and he's yet to eclipse that number in a home matchup against Atlanta. With expectations set at just 8.75, betting the under on Robinson feels like a smart play. The stats don't lie, and on Saturday, they paint a picture of a player likely to fall short of that 12.5 mark.

Jalen Johnson (Atlanta Hawks) Under 12.5 Rebounds (-345)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As Jalen Johnson gears up to face the New York Knicks, the trends suggest we should lean toward the under on his rebounds, set at 12.5. Despite his impressive average of 11.2 rebounds over the last five games, he's only pulling down 10 boards on the road. When squaring off against tough competition like the Knicks, that number drops further to around 9.8 when playing away.Historically, Johnson has thrived at home but has shown vulnerability on the road, with an 88.9% hit rate on this under in his last nine away games. With the Knicks' stout defense and a formidable rebounding frontcourt, it's hard to envision him reaching that threshold. Given these factors, betting the under on Johnson's rebounds feels like a smart play for Saturday's matchup.

See All Our Picks

You're viewing a preview. Subscribe today to unlock the full article and gain access to all our expert insights and best bets - every single day.

Get Bet Better Pro