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Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction & Same Game Parlay picks Value Parlay: Analytics Breakdown
Latest NBA betting preview: Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks. Get predictions and top picks. Featuring picks like NA props. Keywords: same game parlay, SGP picks, NBA parlay odds.
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
As the Mavericks gear up to face the Suns, all eyes will be on Cooper Flagg, but betting on him to hit the over at 37.5 points, rebounds, and assists feels risky. Flagg has shown flashes of brilliance, averaging 30.2 combined stats in his last five outings, but when we zoom in on his away performances, those numbers dip to 23.4 points, 6.8 rebounds, and 6 assists. He's also faced the Suns twice this season, averaging just 21.5 points against them, and in away games, that number drops to 27. Moreover, his assist averages away from home take a hit, dropping to only 2 against this specific opponent. With a hit rate of just 10 out of his last 12 away games landing under this threshold, it's hard to see Flagg surpassing 37.5 in a tough matchup. Keep an eye on the under here.
Cooper Flagg (Dallas Mavericks) Under 30.5 Points + Assists (-114)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
As the Dallas Mavericks gear up to face off against the Phoenix Suns, all eyes will be on Cooper Flagg. But here's where the narrative takes a turn; we're looking at the under on his combined points and assists total at 30.5. Flagg has been a solid contributor, averaging around 30.2 points and 3.6 assists over his last five games. Yet, those numbers dip significantly in away games, where he's managed just 23.4 points and 6 assists. Against the Mavericks, his historical stats paint a clear picture: 21.5 points and just 4 assists, with even lower outputs-27 points and 2 assists-when playing in Dallas. With a hit rate of 10 out of 12 on the road for this under bet, it seems wise to lean into these trends. Expect Flagg to face a tough defensive matchup, making the under a savvy play in this one.
Cooper Flagg (Dallas Mavericks) Under 32.5 Points + Rebounds (-118)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
As the Dallas Mavericks gear up to face the Phoenix Suns, all eyes will be on Cooper Flagg, but the savvy bet is on him to fall under 32.5 combined points and rebounds. Over the last five games, he's averaged 30.2 points and just 6.2 rebounds, but when he hits the road, those numbers dip significantly to 23.4 points and 6.8 rebounds. Against the Suns, Flagg has posted an average of only 21.5 points and 5.5 rebounds, and his away performances against them have been even less impressive, with an average of 27 total. With a stellar away hit rate of 10 out of 12 games hitting under, it seems the odds are stacked against him this time. Given these trends, expecting Flagg to exceed 32.5 seems overly optimistic, making the under a smart play in this pivotal matchup.
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