Grayson Allen (Phoenix Suns) Over 16.5 Points + Rebounds (-111)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Phoenix Suns gear up to face the Denver Nuggets, keep a close eye on Grayson Allen to soar over 16.5 points and rebounds. Playing at home, Allen has been a different player, averaging a solid 20.4 points and 3 rebounds over his last five games. His matchup against the Nuggets is particularly promising; he's averaged 15.8 points when going head-to-head with them, and 10.2 of those came on his own court. But what really stands out is his recent form-he's hit this mark in 16 of his last 19 outings, including an impressive 11 out of 12 at home. With an expected stat value of nearly 20, it seems like a prime opportunity for Allen to shine. Given the stakes and his recent surge, betting on him to eclipse 16.5 seems like a savvy play.

Rasheer Fleming (Phoenix Suns) Under 3.5 Rebounds (+128)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Phoenix Suns prepare to face off against the Denver Nuggets, all eyes will be on Rasheer Fleming, particularly when it comes to rebounding. With an average of just 3.6 boards over his last five games, Fleming is just above our target, but a deeper dive reveals a compelling narrative. At home, he's only hitting 3.8 rebounds, and his track record against the Nuggets is even more telling-he's managed just a single rebound in their last five encounters, and not a single one when playing at home. With a hit rate of 17 out of 20 at home for going under this mark, the numbers suggest that he might struggle to find the glass against Denver's formidable frontcourt. Given the expected stat value of 2.97, it feels prudent to lean towards the Under 3.5 rebounds for Fleming. As the game unfolds, it seems more likely he'll be focused elsewhere than crashing the boards.

Khaman Maluach (Phoenix Suns) Under 4.5 Rebounds (-159)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Phoenix Suns gear up to take on the Denver Nuggets, all eyes will be on Khaman Maluach, but not in the way you might think. Betting on him to secure under 4.5 rebounds feels like a savvy play. Sure, he's been solid at home, averaging 5.2 rebounds in his last five games, but considering his recent matchup against the Nuggets, the numbers tell a different story. In their last five encounters, he's averaged just one board per game against Denver, and notably, he hasn't even grabbed a rebound at home against them. With an overall hit rate of 9 out of 12 for hitting the under, and a trend of just 16 out of the last 20 games at home, it seems like a perfect storm for the under bet. Don't be surprised if Maluach comes in under that 4.5 mark; the data certainly suggests he might just do that.

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