Rasheer Fleming (Phoenix Suns) Under 3.5 Rebounds (+128)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Phoenix Suns gear up to face the Denver Nuggets, all eyes will be on Rasheer Fleming, but not for the reasons you might think. While he's certainly been a solid contributor, recent trends suggest that betting the under on his rebounds at 3.5 could be the way to go. Over the last five games, Fleming has averaged just 3.6 rebounds, and when squaring off against the Nuggets, that number drops significantly to one. Playing at home has been marginally better, yet he's still managed just 0 rebounds against Denver on his own court. With a hit rate of just 17 out of his last 20 home games, the numbers paint a clear picture: Fleming is likely to fall short of that 3.5 mark. The expected stat value of 2.81 only reinforces the idea that fewer boards are in store for him this matchup. Trust the data, and consider the under a smart play.

Khaman Maluach (Phoenix Suns) Under 4.5 Rebounds (-159)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Phoenix Suns gear up to face the Denver Nuggets, all eyes should be on Khaman Maluach's rebounding numbers. With his current line set at 4.5, the under looks enticing. Maluach has averaged just 3.8 rebounds over his last five games, and when we zoom in on home performance, that average ticks up to 5.2. However, against the Nuggets, his numbers tell a different story-he's pulled down just one board in their last five encounters and hasn't managed a single rebound at home against them. The Suns' depth means Maluach won't be asked to shoulder a heavy load on the glass, and with a hit rate of just 3 of 5 in home games against Denver, it's hard to envision him breaking through the 4.5 mark. Given the statistical trends and match-up dynamics, betting the under feels like a savvy play.

Grayson Allen (Phoenix Suns) Over 16.5 Points + Rebounds (-108)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Grayson Allen is primed for a standout performance in the upcoming clash against the Denver Nuggets. Playing at home, he's been a different beast, averaging an impressive 20.4 points and 3 rebounds over his last five games in Phoenix. His recent form against the Nuggets also bodes well; he's scored an average of 15.8 points against them, with a notable uptick at home.With a hit rate of 11 out of his last 12 games at home, Allen clearly thrives in familiar surroundings. The numbers suggest he's not just going to scrape by; with an expected stat value of 19.61, it's reasonable to expect him to surpass the 16.5 mark comfortably. Given how he's consistently contributed to the scoreboard, targeting the Over feels like a smart move in this matchup. Buckle up, because Allen is set to light it up.

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