Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Under 24.5 Rebounds + Assists (-118)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Nuggets gear up to face the Suns, eyes will surely be on Nikola Jokic, but fading him on the rebounds and assists total of 24.5 could be a savvy move. Despite his elite skills, Jokic has averaged just 20.95 combined rebounds and assists recently, which is below that threshold. This matchup against Phoenix could see him struggle more than usual; historically, he's managed only 10 rebounds and 9.8 assists when playing in Arizona. While his away averages look impressive-15.2 rebounds and 10.6 assists-they come with a caveat: against the Suns, he's hit 14 rebounds and 11.6 assists in the last five encounters, but those numbers don't guarantee he'll replicate that success. With a strong 3 out of 4 hit rate lately, the odds seem ripe to take a step back and expect Jokic to fall under that 24.5 mark tonight.

Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Under 10.5 Assists (+109)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Denver Nuggets face off against the Phoenix Suns, all eyes are on Nikola Jokic, especially when it comes to his assists. While he's a maestro on the court, averaging 12 assists over his last five games, his away performance paints a different story. Specifically, Jokic has averaged just 10.6 assists on the road, and against the Suns, that number dips to around 9.8. Given the Suns' defense, which has tightened up against playmakers, Jokic will likely find his passing lanes congested. Additionally, with a hit rate of only 8 out of his last 14 away games falling under this mark, the trends suggest he may struggle to hit that 10.5 threshold. With an expected stat value of 9.35, taking the under here feels like a smart play. This matchup could very well see Jokic focusing more on scoring than facilitating, leading to fewer assists than expected.

Grayson Allen (Phoenix Suns) Over 16.5 Points + Rebounds (-109)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Phoenix Suns gear up to face the Denver Nuggets, Grayson Allen emerges as an enticing player prop bet for Over 16.5 points and rebounds. Allen has been lighting it up at home, averaging an impressive 20.4 points and 3 rebounds over his last five games in Phoenix. His performance against the Nuggets has been strong too, typically notching around 15.8 points when facing them, and at home, that figure climbs to a solid 10.2.More importantly, Allen's consistency is hard to overlook; he has hit this mark in 16 of his last 19 games overall and 11 of 12 at home. With an expected stat value of 19.61, it feels like he's primed for a breakout night. Against a Denver team that occasionally struggles to contain perimeter players, it's a perfect opportunity for Allen to shine. Bet on him to exceed that 16.5 threshold and make a significant impact.

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