Phoenix Suns vs Indiana Pacers : Under 255.5 Total Points (-1250)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The bet on 'Under 255.5' for the Total Points in the Phoenix Suns vs Indiana Pacers game is a promising option because the historical data suggests a lower scoring game. The average combined score over the last five games for both teams is 238.8 points, considerably below the bet's threshold of 255.5 points. Additionally, when playing at home, the Suns' scoring drops to 111 points, and their opponents' score also decreases to 104.2 points. Although the Pacers have a higher scoring average away (117.8 points), their opponents' average score also rises significantly (125.6 points), suggesting they face strong defensive teams on the road. Overall, the model prediction of 228.52 points further supports the likelihood of the game's total points falling under 255.5.
Phoenix Suns vs Indiana Pacers : Indiana Pacers 4.5 (-110)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The bet on 'Indiana Pacers 4.5' in the Point Spread market is justified by several key statistics. Firstly, the Pacers have a higher overall team score than the Suns in the last 5 games (122.2 vs 116.6) and maintain this scoring advantage even when playing away (117.8 vs Suns' 111 at home). This indicates an offensive capability that can overcome the 4.5 point spread. Furthermore, the Suns' defense at home seems less effective, allowing 104.2 points on average, which could be exploited by the Pacers. Despite the Suns having a better recent home record (4-1) and past victories against the Pacers, the higher scoring capacity of the Pacers makes them a viable bet to cover the point spread. Their 2-3 away record also shows they're capable of winning on the road. The model prediction and implied probability further support this betting rationale.
Phoenix Suns vs Indiana Pacers : Indiana Pacers win (+152)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
Despite the Phoenix Suns having a better head-to-head and home record, the Indiana Pacers demonstrate a superior scoring average both overall and on the road in their last five games. These higher scoring averages for Indiana, with 122.2 points overall and 117.8 points away, against Phoenix's 116.6 points overall and 111 points at home, indicate Indiana's potential to outscore Phoenix. While Phoenix's recent form gives them a model edge, Indiana's robust scoring ability offers a promising opportunity for an upset. Betting on the Pacers is therefore a reasonable risk based on their demonstrated offensive strength.
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