Logan Webb (SFG) Over 2.5 Hits Allowed (-1429)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Logan Webb for Over 2.5 in the Pitcher Hits Allowed market is a strong choice based on his recent performance data. In his last five games, Webb has allowed an average of 4.8 hits overall and 5.6 hits at home. These averages are well above the 2.5 line set for this bet. Furthermore, his innings pitched (IP) averages are 6 overall and 6.4 at home, indicating he typically stays in the game long enough to allow more than 2.5 hits. The overall and home hit streaks of 33 and 39 respectively, also support this trend. Lastly, his performance against the Diamondbacks specifically shows an average of 4.8 hits allowed, which further strengthens the case for this bet. All these statistics suggest a high likelihood of Webb allowing more than 2.5 hits in the upcoming game.
Geraldo Perdomo (ARI) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-1000)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Geraldo Perdomo for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a solid choice due to his recent performance data. His last five games show an average of only 0.4 stolen bases overall and 0.2 when playing away, which is below the line of 0.5. Additionally, his performance against the Giants is even less promising, with no stolen bases in the last five games. Moreover, his overall current hit streak is at zero, indicating a slump in his performance. While his away current hit streak is at three, it's important to note that stolen bases are a specific skill that doesn't necessarily correlate with hit streaks. Therefore, based on these statistics, it's reasonable to expect Perdomo to have under 0.5 stolen bases in the upcoming game.
Jake McCarthy (ARI) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-909)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Jake McCarthy for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is driven by several key statistics. Firstly, McCarthy's last five overall and away games show an average of zero stolen bases, indicating a low probability of him stealing a base in this game. Additionally, his performance against the Giants specifically also supports this bet, with an average of only 0.2 stolen bases in his last five games against this team. Furthermore, despite a current hit streak, this hasn't translated into stolen bases for McCarthy. The absence of caught stealing (Cs) instances also suggests that McCarthy is not taking risks on the bases. Therefore, based on his recent performance data, the likelihood of McCarthy stealing a base in this game is statistically low, making the Under 0.5 bet a strong choice.
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