Corbin Carroll (ARI) Under 1.5 Stolen Bases (-1667)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Corbin Carroll for Under 1.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a solid choice based on his recent performance data. Over the last five games, Carroll's overall stolen base average is 0.6, which is significantly lower than the line of 1.5. This trend continues even when focusing on his away games, with an average of 0.6 stolen bases. Against the Giants specifically, his stolen base average drops further to 0.4. Additionally, his current hit streaks, both overall and away, do not suggest a sudden increase in stolen bases. There's also the fact that the Giants have an average of 0.2 caught stealing against their opponents, adding another layer of difficulty for Carroll. All these statistics point towards Carroll not exceeding 1.5 stolen bases in the upcoming game.
Willy Adames (SFG) Under 1.5 Doubles (-2000)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The under 1.5 bet for Willy Adames in the Batter Doubles market is a solid choice based on his recent performance data. Over the last five games, Adames has not hit any doubles, either overall or at home. His overall hit average is 0.8, and it drops to 0.4 at home, indicating a lower rate of hits when playing in San Francisco. Although he maintains a higher hit average against the Diamondbacks, his doubles average against them is only 0.6. This suggests that while he gets hits, they don't often result in doubles. Furthermore, his current home hit streak is 68, but this doesn't translate to doubles. These statistics indicate that it's unlikely for Adames to hit more than 1.5 doubles in the upcoming game, making the under bet a statistically sound choice.
Gabriel Moreno (ARI) Under 1.5 Walks (-909)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Gabriel Moreno for Under 1.5 in the Batter Walks market is statistically sound, given Moreno's recent performance data. Over his last five games, Moreno's overall and away batting walk average is 0.6, well below the line of 1.5. This trend is even more pronounced against the Giants, with an average of just 0.2 walks per game. His plate appearances also suggest a lower walk rate, averaging 3.4 overall and on away games, and 3.2 against the Giants, indicating that he is more likely to hit than walk. His current hit streaks, overall and away, further underscore his propensity for hitting over walking. Thus, the under bet is a solid choice based on Moreno's demonstrated performance.
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