Today's NBA Best Bets: Picks, Predictions and Odds for ALL Games on Friday 11/14

The bet on 'New York Knicks -5' for the Point Spread market in the New York Knicks vs Miami Heat game is a good choice because of the Knicks' superior performance in recent games, particularly at home. The Knicks have won 3 out of their last 5 games overall and at home, with an impressive average score of 125.2 points at home games. This is significantly higher than the Heat's average score of 107.8 points in their away games. Moreover, the Knicks have a strong record against the Heat, winning 3 out of the last 5 matches. These stats suggest that the Knicks are likely to outperform the Heat by more than 5 points in the upcoming game.

Phoenix Suns vs Indiana Pacers : Indiana Pacers 4.5 (-110)

The bet on 'Indiana Pacers 4.5' in the Point Spread market is justified by several key statistics. Firstly, the Pacers have a higher overall team score than the Suns in the last 5 games (122.2 vs 116.6) and maintain this scoring advantage even when playing away (117.8 vs Suns' 111 at home). This indicates an offensive capability that can overcome the 4.5 point spread. Furthermore, the Suns' defense at home seems less effective, allowing 104.2 points on average, which could be exploited by the Pacers. Despite the Suns having a better recent home record (4-1) and past victories against the Pacers, the higher scoring capacity of the Pacers makes them a viable bet to cover the point spread. Their 2-3 away record also shows they're capable of winning on the road. The model prediction and implied probability further support this betting rationale.

Utah Jazz vs Atlanta Hawks : Atlanta Hawks -1.5 (-118)

The bet on 'Atlanta Hawks -1.5' is a smart choice considering the performance data. Despite playing away, the Hawks have won three of their last five games, better than the Jazz's 1-4 home record. Atlanta also has a higher team score, both overall (126.8 vs 115.2) and away (117.2 vs 113.6). Although both teams have similar opponent team scores, the Jazz's higher home opponent score (124.8 vs 120) suggests they struggle more with defense at home. Additionally, the Hawks have matched up evenly against the Jazz in their last two encounters (1-1). These factors indicate that the Hawks are more likely to cover the -1.5 point spread against the Jazz.

Phoenix Suns vs Indiana Pacers : Phoenix Suns -4.5 (-112)

The Phoenix Suns have a stronger recent home record (4-1) than the Indiana Pacers' away record (2-3). This is further supported by the Suns' recent head-to-head record against the Pacers (2-0). In the last five games, the Suns' average score at home (111) is less than the Pacers' average score away (117.8), but the Suns have allowed fewer points to opponents at home (104.2) compared to the Pacers' opponent points away (125.6), indicating stronger defense. This defensive advantage is likely to help the Suns cover a -4.5 point spread. The model also gives a 7.1% edge to the Suns, reinforcing the choice. Despite the Pacers' higher recent scoring, the Suns' home record and defensive stats make them a solid bet.

San Antonio Spurs vs Golden State Warriors : San Antonio Spurs win (-135)

This bet on San Antonio Spurs to win the game is based on several key statistics. Although the Spurs have a less impressive record in their last five games against the Warriors (0-3), their recent overall performance has been solid, with a 3-2 record, and they have been scoring an average of 126.8 points per game. The Spurs' home record also suggests they perform better on their own court, as they have won 2 of their last 5 home matches. Furthermore, the Warriors' away record, while strong (4-1), does not guarantee a victory, especially considering the slight edge the Spurs have in home scoring (124.6 vs 126.8). This combination of factors implies a good chance for the Spurs to secure a win in this match.