Sonny Gray (STL) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-385)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Sonny Gray for Over 0.5 in the Pitcher Walks Allowed market is a strong choice based on his recent performance data. Over his last five games, Gray has averaged 0.8 walks per game overall and 1 walk per game when playing at home. His home base-on-balls average matches the average walks allowed in his last five games against the Cubs. This suggests a pattern of Gray allowing at least one walk per game, particularly when playing at home and against this specific opponent. His average innings pitched and outs also indicate he typically plays long enough in each game for a walk to occur. Furthermore, Gray's current hit streaks, both overall and at home, suggest he's been struggling to prevent hits recently, which often correlates with a higher likelihood of allowing walks.
Brice Turang (MIL) Over 0.5 Hits (-179)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Brice Turang for Over 0.5 in the Batter Hits market is a solid choice based on his recent performance. Turang has a strong overall batting average of 1.6 hits per game in his last five games, indicating a high probability of hitting at least once in the upcoming game. His plate appearances (PA) average is also high, at 4.4 overall and 4.2 against the Pirates, providing ample opportunities to hit. Despite a slightly lower home hits average (1), it's still double the line set for this bet. Additionally, Turang is currently on a hit streak both overall and at home, suggesting he's in good form. Although his performance specifically against the Pirates is lower (0.4 hits average), the overall stats indicate a strong likelihood of Turang achieving over 0.5 hits in the game.
Brice Turang (MIL) Over 0.5 Hits (-179)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Brice Turang for Over 0.5 in the Batter Hits Alternate market is a strong choice, primarily due to his recent batting performance. Turang's last five games show an overall hits average of 1.6 per game, which is significantly higher than the line of 0.5. This indicates a strong tendency towards achieving at least one hit per game. Additionally, his plate appearances (PA) average at home is 4.4, providing ample opportunities to score hits. Despite a slightly lower hits average against the Pirates and at home, these figures still hover around the line of 0.5, suggesting Turang is likely to achieve at least one hit. Furthermore, Turang is currently on a hit streak both overall and at home, which may boost his confidence and performance. Therefore, based on these statistics, the bet on Turang for Over 0.5 is a sound decision.
Nick Gonzales (PIT) Over 0.5 Hits (-175)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Nick Gonzales has a strong case for achieving over 0.5 hits in the game against the Milwaukee Brewers. His overall average hits in the last five games is 1.2, which is well above the bet line of 0.5. Even when playing away, his average hits are 0.8, still significantly higher than the bet line. This shows that Gonzales consistently hits the ball regardless of the location. Furthermore, his average hits against the Brewers specifically is 1, doubling the bet line. His plate appearances, both overall and against the Brewers, are also consistent, averaging around 4, which provides ample opportunities to achieve a hit. Finally, Gonzales is on a hit streak, both overall and away, indicating his current good form. Therefore, based on his past performance and current form, betting on Gonzales to have over 0.5 hits is a solid choice.
Nico Hoerner (CHC) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-714)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The under 0.5 stolen bases bet for Nico Hoerner in the St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs game is a solid choice based on his recent performance data. Hoerner's last five games show an average of zero stolen bases overall, zero stolen bases while playing away, and only 0.2 stolen bases when playing against the Cardinals. Despite having a current hit streak, Hoerner's stealing record remains low, suggesting he prioritizes safe hits over risky steals. Additionally, the Cardinals have an average of 0.2 caught steals per game, indicating a strong defense against stealing attempts. Therefore, the statistical evidence suggests that Hoerner is unlikely to steal a base in this game, making the under bet a reasonable choice.
Shota Imanaga (CHC) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-1000)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Shota Imanaga's recent performance data strongly supports the bet for Over 2.5 in the Pitcher Strikeouts market. His last five overall games show an average of 5 strikeouts per game, which is double the bet line. Furthermore, his performance in away games is even better, averaging 5.2 strikeouts, indicating that being on the road doesn't negatively affect his performance. His record against the Cardinals is impressive with an average of 6.5 strikeouts per game. Moreover, Imanaga is currently on a 5-game hit streak overall and a 10-game hit streak in away games. These consistent performances indicate a high probability of him achieving over 2.5 strikeouts in the upcoming game against the Cardinals.
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