Hunter Greene (CIN) Over 4.5 Strikeouts (-333)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Hunter Greene for Over 4.5 strikeouts is driven by his consistent performance in recent games. Greene's last five overall games show an average of 7 strikeouts, well above the line of 4.5. Even when considering his away game performance, his average is 4.8 strikeouts, just over the line. When facing the Dodgers, his average strikeouts increase to 5.5, further supporting the bet. Additionally, his innings pitched averages indicate that he typically plays long enough in games to achieve this number of strikeouts. Despite his current hit streak being zero, his past performance shows a strong capability to achieve over 4.5 strikeouts. Therefore, based on Greene's consistent strikeout performance, betting over 4.5 is a statistically sound choice.
Max Fried (NYY) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-476)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The Over 0.5 bet for Max Fried in the Pitcher Walks Allowed market is a strong choice given his recent performances. Fried's average walks allowed per game in his last five appearances is 1.4, which is significantly higher than the line of 0.5. This trend is even more pronounced when he's pitching at home, with an average of 2 walks allowed. Even when facing the Red Sox, his walks allowed average remains above the line at 1. Furthermore, Fried is currently on a hit streak, both overall and at home, indicating that he's been more susceptible to allowing hits and consequently, walks. These statistics collectively suggest a high likelihood of Fried allowing more than 0.5 walks in the upcoming game.
Nick Pivetta (SDP) Over 2.5 Hits Allowed (-500)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Nick Pivetta for Over 2.5 in the Pitcher Hits Allowed market is a solid choice based on his recent performance data. Pivetta has consistently allowed more than 2.5 hits in his last five games, with an average of 3.2 hits overall and 5.2 hits in away games. His innings pitched and outs averages also suggest a higher likelihood of exceeding the 2.5 hits line. Specifically, he's averaged 5 innings pitched and 15.4 outs in away games, providing ample opportunity for hits. His performance against the Cubs further supports this bet, as he's averaged 5 hits allowed in his last five games against them. Despite his current hit streak being at zero, his historical data strongly indicates a probability of allowing more than 2.5 hits in the upcoming game.
Nick Pivetta (SDP) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-526)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Nick Pivetta for Over 0.5 in the Pitcher Walks Allowed market is a solid choice based on his recent performance data. Pivetta has a consistent record of allowing walks, with an average of 1.4 walks in his last five overall games and 1.8 in his last five away games. His averages increase further when specifically playing against the Cubs, with 2 walks allowed per game. Additionally, his innings pitched (IP) and outs averages are lower when playing away, indicating that he tends to struggle more in these situations. His current hit streaks for both overall and away games further confirm his tendency to allow hits, which can often lead to walks. These statistics collectively suggest a high probability that Pivetta will allow over 0.5 walks in the upcoming game against the Cubs.
Tarik Skubal (DET) Over 2.5 Hits Allowed (-526)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Tarik Skubal for Over 2.5 in the Pitcher Hits Allowed market is a sound choice based on his recent performance data. In his last five games, Skubal has averaged over 5 hits allowed per game, both overall and in away games. This is significantly higher than the line of 2.5 hits. His innings pitched and outs averages also suggest he tends to be on the mound for a considerable amount of time, increasing the chances of him allowing more hits. Additionally, Skubal is currently on a hit streak, having allowed hits in his last 5 overall games and 14 away games. His performance against the Cleveland Guardians also supports this bet, as he has averaged 5.5 hits allowed in their previous encounters. All these statistics indicate a high probability of Skubal allowing over 2.5 hits in the upcoming game.
Max Fried (NYY) Over 3.5 Strikeouts (-714)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Max Fried's betting selection for Over 3.5 in the Pitcher Strikeouts market is a strong choice based on his recent performance data. His strikeout average over the last five games is 6, which is significantly higher than the line of 3.5. Moreover, his performance at home is even stronger, with an average of 7 strikeouts over the last five home games. Fried also appears to excel against this specific opponent, the Boston Red Sox, with an impressive average of 13 strikeouts in the last five games against them. Even though he is currently not on a hit streak, his consistently high strikeout rates, particularly at home and against this team, suggest a high probability of achieving more than 3.5 strikeouts in the upcoming game. Therefore, the statistics strongly support this bet.
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