Today's Top MLB Prop Bet Picks & Predictions, Wednesday 10/01 (Tanner Bibee Highlights): Data-Driven Baseball Insights

Austin Wells has demonstrated a strong performance against the Boston Red Sox in recent history, with an average of 0.8 hits per game. This is double his overall and home averages, indicating that he performs particularly well against this opponent. Additionally, his batting averages for runs and RBIs against the Red Sox are also at 0.4, higher than his home averages. Even though his current hit streak is at zero, his historical performance against the Red Sox suggests that he is likely to score over 0.5 in the Batter Hits Runs Rbis market. Therefore, his past performance data against this specific team makes this bet a promising choice.

Ryan McMahon (COL) Over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-161)

The bet on Ryan McMahon for Over 0.5 in the Batter Hits Runs Rbis market is justified by his recent performance data. McMahon has a current hit streak of 1 overall and 3 in away games, showing his ability to perform under pressure. Additionally, his average against the Yankees is promising, with a 0.6 average in hits and 0.4 in RBIs over the last five games. His overall batting average of 0.4 in both hits and runs also supports the bet. Although his recent away game statistics are slightly lower, his performance against the Yankees specifically indicates a strong potential for achieving Over 0.5. This data-driven analysis suggests McMahon is likely to contribute to the Red Sox's score in hits, runs, or RBIs, making the bet a promising choice.

Casey Mize (DET) Over 2.5 Hits Allowed (-345)

The bet on Casey Mize for Over 2.5 in the Pitcher Hits Allowed market is a good choice given his recent performance data. Mize's last five overall games show an average of 3.6 hits allowed, and when playing away, this average increases to 4.6 hits. His innings pitched and outs averages are consistent for both overall and away games, suggesting his performance doesn't significantly change based on location. The current hit streaks also support this bet; Mize has allowed hits in his last three games overall and his last away game. This consistent performance and the recent trend of allowing more than 2.5 hits make it likely that Mize will allow over 2.5 hits in the upcoming game against the Cleveland Guardians.

Dylan Cease (SDP) Over 2.5 Hits Allowed (-370)

The bet on Dylan Cease to allow over 2.5 hits in the game against the Chicago Cubs is backed by his recent performance data. In his last five games, Cease has allowed an average of 6 hits overall and 5.2 hits when playing away. This trend is further supported by his current hit streak of 6 overall and 4 when playing away. Even when considering his performance against the Cubs specifically, his average hits allowed is 3, still over the 2.5 line. While Cease's innings pitched and outs averages are respectable, they do not negate the consistent hit rate he's been allowing. Given these stats, it's statistically likely that Cease will allow more than 2.5 hits in the upcoming game.

Carlos Rodon (NYY) Over 2.5 Hits Allowed (-455)

The bet on Carlos Rodon for over 2.5 in the Pitcher Hits Allowed market is a sound choice given his recent performance data. Over the last five games, Rodon has consistently allowed an average of 3.2 hits overall, 4 hits at home, and 5.5 hits when playing against the Boston Red Sox. These averages are all above the line of 2.5, indicating a high likelihood of the outcome being over 2.5. Additionally, his innings pitched and outs averages also suggest he stays in the game long enough to potentially allow more than 2.5 hits. Despite having a current hit streak of zero, his historical performance suggests a tendency to allow more than 2.5 hits, making this bet a statistically informed choice.