Today's Top NBA Prop Bet Picks & Predictions, Friday 06/12 (Miles McBride Highlights): Smart Player Wagers

As the Spurs host the Knicks, all eyes should be on De'Aaron Fox, particularly when it comes to his scoring potential. With a history of lighting it up at home, Fox has consistently exceeded the 13.5-point mark, especially against the Knicks, where he averages a notable 19.2 points in their last matchups in San Antonio. Over his last five games, he's been on fire, averaging 14.4 points, with a home average around 11.8, suggesting he thrives on familiar turf.What stands out even more is his impressive hit rate; he's cleared this threshold in 10 of his last 14 home games and 14 out of his last 20 overall. With a projected stat value of 20.2, it's clear that Fox is poised to make a statement. Given the blend of his current form and the favorable matchup, betting on him to go over 13.5 points feels like a smart move.

Keldon Johnson (San Antonio Spurs) Over 5.5 Points (-159)

As the San Antonio Spurs gear up to face the New York Knicks, all eyes should be on Keldon Johnson, especially when it comes to his scoring. With an expected stat value of 11.17, he's well-positioned to exceed the modest line of 5.5 points. Despite averaging 5.2 points over his last five games, it's important to note that when he's at home against the Knicks, his scoring jumps significantly-he's averaged a solid 9.6 points in their recent clashes. What's even more compelling is Johnson's recent form: in his last 19 games overall, he's hit the over in 13 of them, and at home, that number skyrockets to 15. He's clearly comfortable in front of the home crowd. Given these trends and his ability to step up in crucial matchups, betting on Keldon Johnson to score over 5.5 points seems like a savvy move.

Mikal Bridges (New York Knicks) Over 9.5 Points (-154)

When the Knicks take on the Spurs, all eyes should be on Mikal Bridges to light up the scoreboard. Currently averaging 15.6 points in his last five road games, Bridges has found a rhythm that makes hitting that 9.5 mark seem almost inevitable. He's particularly effective against the Spurs, with an average of 14 points in his last five meetings against them, showcasing his ability to elevate his game when it matters.With a robust hit rate of 10 out of his last 13 games, and a staggering 6 out of 7 on the road, there's a compelling case for the over. The Knicks will rely on him to carry the offensive load, especially in an away setting where he thrives. Given his expected stat value of nearly 15 points, betting on Bridges to exceed 9.5 feels not just safe, but like an opportunity too good to pass up.

Karl-Anthony Towns (New York Knicks) Over 16.5 Points (-108)

When it comes to Karl-Anthony Towns, the numbers paint a promising picture for Sunday's matchup against the Spurs. Sure, he's averaged 16.4 points across his last five games, but let's dig deeper. His scoring jumps to 17.6 points in away games, and notably, he's lit it up against the Knicks away from home, dropping an impressive 22 points on average recently. With an overall hit rate of 12 out of his last 19 games, Towns has shown he can rise to the occasion, especially against teams like San Antonio. Plus, in his last three away games, he's hit the over every single time. The Spurs will likely struggle to contain his versatile scoring, making the over on 16.5 points not just a solid bet but a calculated one. Expect Towns to exceed that mark as he leads the charge for the Knicks.

Landry Shamet (New York Knicks) Over 8.5 Points + Rebounds (-112)

As the Spurs gear up to face the Knicks, Landry Shamet is primed for a standout performance. Averaging 13.6 points on the road over his last five games, Shamet seems to thrive away from home, showcasing a knack for scoring that's hard to overlook. His recent form is telling; he's gone over 8.5 combined points and rebounds in seven of his last ten outings, and alarmingly, he's hit the over in all six of his recent away games. Against the Knicks, Shamet has averaged 8.8 points in his last five encounters. While his rebounds may not jump off the page, he's still contributing solidly with 1.2 away rebounds against this opponent. Given his consistency and the Spurs' need for scoring, targeting the over on 8.5 seems not just plausible, but nearly inevitable. With a strong overall hit rate and an expected value of 12.44, Shamet could very well exceed this