Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays : Over 0.5 alternate_team_totals (-1429)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Betting on Tampa Bay Rays Over 0.5 for Team Total Runs is a solid choice given the statistical data. One key factor is the Blue Jays' recent defensive performance, with an average of 4.6 runs allowed in their last five games overall, and 3.8 at home. This suggests vulnerabilities in the Blue Jays' defense that the Rays could exploit. Additionally, the Rays have an average of 4.4 hits in their last five games and 5.2 in their last five away games, indicating a consistent ability to connect with the ball. Although the Rays' runs scored averages are low, the line set at 0.5 is very achievable, especially considering the model prediction of 5.63. The home team’s recent record, both overall and against the Rays, also suggests that the away team has a good chance of scoring.
Kevin Gausman (TOR) Over 3.5 Strikeouts (-909)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Kevin Gausman's recent performance indicates strong potential for achieving over 3.5 strikeouts. His last five overall games show an average of 5.2 strikeouts, exceeding the line by a significant margin. Even his home game average, at 5.2, surpasses the line comfortably. When facing the Rays, his strikeout average increases to 6.4, further strengthening the case. His innings pitched (IP) and outs averages are also consistent, suggesting he generally stays in the game long enough to achieve high strikeout numbers. Additionally, he is on a current hit streak of 3 overall and 2 at home, indicating a strong current form. This data-driven analysis therefore suggests a high probability of Gausman achieving over 3.5 strikeouts, making this bet a promising choice.
Josh Lowe (TBR) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-769)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Josh Lowe for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a good choice due to his recent performance data. Over the last five games, Lowe has not stolen any bases, whether playing at home or away. His average for stolen bases against the opponent, Toronto Blue Jays, is also low at only 0.2. Additionally, his current hit streak doesn't necessarily translate into stolen bases. Therefore, based on these statistics, it's unlikely that Lowe will steal a base in the upcoming game. This is further supported by the fact that there have been no caught stealing (Cs) instances in the last five games, suggesting that Lowe is not taking the risk to steal bases. Therefore, betting on the under is a statistically sound choice.
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