MacKenzie Gore (WSN) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-714)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on MacKenzie Gore for Over 0.5 in the Pitcher Walks Allowed market is a good choice based on his recent performance data. Over his last five games, regardless of location, Gore has averaged 1.6 walks per game, well above the line of 0.5. This trend holds when looking at his performance at home, where he averages 1.4 walks, and against the Cubs, where he averages 1.8 walks. Even considering his best performance, at home, he still averages 1 walk per game, double the line. Furthermore, his current hit streaks, both overall and at home, suggest he's in a phase of consistent performance. Therefore, based on these averages, there is a high probability that Gore will allow more than 0.5 walks in the upcoming game.
MacKenzie Gore (WSN) Over 2.5 Hits Allowed (-1250)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on MacKenzie Gore for Over 2.5 in the Pitcher Hits Allowed market is a good choice based on his recent performance data. Over his last five games, Gore has allowed an average of 5.4 hits overall and 3.4 hits at home. Even more compelling, when facing the Cubs, his hits allowed average increases to 5.2. His innings pitched averages (5.8 overall, 5.4 at home, and 5.5 against the Cubs) also suggest that he is on the mound long enough to allow more than 2.5 hits. Additionally, Gore is on a hit streak, having allowed hits in his last four games overall and three home games. Considering these factors, the statistical likelihood of Gore allowing over 2.5 hits in this game is high.
Matthew Boyd (CHC) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-385)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Matthew Boyd's recent performances indicate a strong probability of him allowing over 0.5 walks in the upcoming game. Over his last five games, Boyd has averaged 2.4 walks overall and 2.6 walks in away games, both significantly higher than the 0.5 line set for this bet. His innings pitched (IP) average doesn't provide much relief, with 5.2 innings overall and 4.8 in away games, suggesting he'll be on the mound long enough to potentially give up a walk. Additionally, his current hit streaks, both overall and away, further reinforce this trend. Despite his lower average of 1 walk against the Nationals, his overall and away game trends are more indicative of his likely performance. Therefore, the data supports betting on Matthew Boyd to allow over 0.5 walks in the upcoming game.
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