Best MLB Parlay Picks Today, Tuesday 09/30 (7-Leg) Featuring Max Fried!: Expert MLB Selections

The bet on Nick Pivetta for Over 0.5 in the Pitcher Walks Allowed market is a solid choice based on his recent performance data. Pivetta has a consistent record of allowing walks, with an average of 1.4 walks in his last five overall games and 1.8 in his last five away games. His averages increase further when specifically playing against the Cubs, with 2 walks allowed per game. Additionally, his innings pitched (IP) and outs averages are lower when playing away, indicating that he tends to struggle more in these situations. His current hit streaks for both overall and away games further confirm his tendency to allow hits, which can often lead to walks. These statistics collectively suggest a high probability that Pivetta will allow over 0.5 walks in the upcoming game against the Cubs.

Hunter Greene (CIN) Over 3.5 Strikeouts (-833)

Hunter Greene's recent performance data indicates a high likelihood of achieving over 3.5 strikeouts in the upcoming game. His last five games show an overall average of 7 strikeouts per game, which is significantly above the line of 3.5. This trend continues in away games, where he averages 4.8 strikeouts, still comfortably above the line. In games against the Dodgers, Greene's average remains strong at 5.5 strikeouts. Furthermore, his innings pitched averages consistently hover around 5.6, providing ample opportunities for strikeouts. Lastly, his current hit streaks, both overall and away, demonstrate a solid form. These statistics suggest that Greene is consistently performing well, especially in striking out opponents, making the bet for over 3.5 strikeouts a strong choice.

Max Fried (NYY) Over 2.5 Hits Allowed (-909)

Betting on Max Fried to allow over 2.5 hits is a sound choice based on his recent performance data. Over the last five games, Fried has given up an average of 5 hits overall, 4.4 hits at home, and 4 hits against the Red Sox. These averages are all significantly higher than the line of 2.5. Furthermore, Fried's innings pitched averages (6 innings overall, 6.3 at home, and 7 against the Red Sox) provide ample opportunity for hits to occur. Despite his current hit streak being zero, considering Fried's hits allowed averages over the last five games and his innings pitched, it's statistically likely that he will allow more than 2.5 hits in this game.

Nico Hoerner (CHC) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-714)

The under 0.5 bet on Nico Hoerner for Batter Stolen Bases is a strong choice, given his recent performance data. Over the last five games, Hoerner's overall and home stolen base averages have been zero. This suggests a lack of recent success in stealing bases, particularly at home where the upcoming game will be held. His average caught stealing (Cs) rate is also relatively low, which indicates that he hasn't been attempting many steals. Furthermore, his performance against the Padres specifically shows a lower stolen base average than his overall average. Despite his impressive hit streaks, these do not directly correlate to stolen bases. Therefore, based on Hoerner's recent lack of stolen bases both overall and at home, as well as his performance against the Padres, the under bet is statistically justified.

Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-714)

The bet on Pete Crow-Armstrong for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a solid choice based on his recent performance data. Over his last five games, both overall and at home, his stolen base average is only 0.2, well below the line of 0.5. This indicates a low probability of him stealing a base in the upcoming game. Furthermore, when facing the San Diego Padres, his stolen base average is slightly higher at 0.4, but still below the line. His overall current hit streak is only 1, and his home hit streak is 2, suggesting that his batting performance has not been robust, which can limit opportunities for stolen bases. Moreover, the average caught stealing against the Padres is 0.2, suggesting their defense is capable of limiting stolen base attempts.

Max Fried (NYY) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-2000)

The bet on Max Fried for Over 2.5 in the Pitcher Strikeouts market is a solid choice based on his recent performance data. Over his last five games, Fried has consistently outperformed the line, averaging six strikeouts overall and seven at home. This demonstrates his ability to maintain a high strikeout rate regardless of location. Furthermore, when facing the Boston Red Sox, his strikeout average jumps to 13, substantially higher than the line. Despite his current hit streak being zero, his consistent past performance, particularly against this opponent, supports the likelihood of him achieving more than 2.5 strikeouts in the upcoming game. This data-driven analysis suggests that Fried is likely to exceed the line, making this a good bet.