Jalen Johnson (Atlanta Hawks) Under 17.5 Rebounds + Assists (-112)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Hawks roll into Madison Square Garden, Jalen Johnson's performance could take a hit against the Knicks. Sure, his recent numbers look solid, averaging 11.2 rebounds and 5.2 assists over his last five games. But let's dig a little deeper. On the road, Johnson has posted an average of just 10 rebounds and 7.4 assists, which brings his total closer to 17.4-just under our target line of 17.5. Moreover, when facing the Knicks, he's averaged just 9.8 rebounds and 6 assists in away matchups, struggling to meet that threshold. With a hit rate of 3 out of 4 on the road and the way the Knicks' defense tightens at home, targeting the Under on Johnson's combined rebounds and assists feels like a savvy play. It's not a matter of talent; it's about matchups, and this one doesn't favor him.

Moussa Diabate (Charlotte Hornets) Under 12.5 Rebounds + Assists (-125)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Moussa Diabate is stepping into a challenging matchup against the Orlando Magic, and betting on him to go under 12.5 combined rebounds and assists makes sense. While he has been solid recently, averaging 8.6 boards and 3 assists over his last five games, those numbers dip when he's on the road. In fact, his away stats show an average of just 8 rebounds and 3.2 assists. Against the Magic, where he's historically averaged only 7 rebounds and just 1.2 assists, the trend doesn't favor him. The stats from his last away games paint a clear picture: he's managed only 10.3 rebounds and 2 assists when facing them. With a hit rate of just 50% in recent outings, it feels like a wise play to back the under here. Diabate might find it tough to hit that 12.5 mark in this tough environment.

Moussa Diabate (Charlotte Hornets) Under 10.5 Rebounds (-135)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Charlotte Hornets gear up to face the Orlando Magic, all eyes will be on Moussa Diabate, but betting the under on his rebounding total of 10.5 presents a savvy play. Despite showing promise, Diabate's recent performances tell a different story. Over his last five games, he's averaged about 8.6 rebounds overall, and when on the road, that number dips to 8. Against Orlando specifically, he's only managed an average of 7 rebounds. Even more telling is his recent form: he's hit the under in five of his last six games, and when away, he's a perfect 3-for-3 on failing to reach that 10.5 mark. With the Magic's frontcourt presenting a challenging matchup, it's reasonable to expect Diabate to stay under that threshold once again. Bank on him to come up just short in this rebounding battle.

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