Reed Sheppard (Houston Rockets) Under 3.5 Rebounds (-192)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Houston Rockets prepare to face off against the Los Angeles Lakers, all eyes will be on Reed Sheppard's rebounding performance. Given the matchup, I'm leaning towards an under 3.5 rebounds for Sheppard. The numbers tell a compelling story-he hasn't managed to grab more than three boards in any of his last 15 games, showcasing an impressive streak of 15 consecutive unders. At home, he's even sharper, hitting the under in all of his last 20 games. The Lakers present a unique challenge; they tend to dominate the glass, particularly with their size in the frontcourt. With the Rockets likely focusing on perimeter shooting and pace, there just aren't enough opportunities for Sheppard to sneak in and grab those rebounds. Considering his recent trends and the matchup dynamics, betting the under feels like a savvy move.

Collin Gillespie (Phoenix Suns) Under 4.5 Assists (-172)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Phoenix Suns prepare to face the Boston Celtics, all eyes will be on Collin Gillespie, but not for the reasons you might think. While he's shown flashes of brilliance this season, his assist total could take a hit in this matchup. Gillespie has been held to fewer than 5 assists in all of his last five games, and his current trajectory points towards an expected stat value of just 3.08. With the Celtics boasting one of the stoutest defenses in the league, it's hard to envision him breaking through for a higher total. Moreover, Gillespie's away performance has been consistent-he's hit the under in four consecutive road games. When you consider that the implied probability of him staying under 4.5 assists is a solid 63.3%, this feels like a smart spot to bet against him exceeding that mark.

Bennedict Mathurin (Indiana Pacers) Under 2.5 Assists (-154)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As we look ahead to the matchup between the Clippers and Spurs, targeting Bennedict Mathurin for under 2.5 assists feels spot on. His average over the last five games sits at just 1.2 assists, and when he's played at home, it only nudges up to 1.4. Against the Spurs, who typically allow around 2 assists per game to opposing players, Mathurin's numbers suggest he might struggle to hit that mark. With a remarkable hit rate of 19 out of the last 20 games falling under this threshold, it's clear he's been consistent in not eclipsing 2.5. This trend continues in his last eleven home appearances, where he hit the under ten times. With all these factors in play, betting on Mathurin to stay below 2.5 assists seems not just wise, but almost inevitable.

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