Best NBA Parlay Picks Today, Monday 03/16 (5-Leg) Quentin Grimes Prop Focus: Beat the Books

As the Knicks prepare to face the Warriors at Madison Square Garden, targeting Jalen Brunson for under 10.5 assists feels like a savvy play. While Brunson's been solid, averaging 5.8 assists over his last five games, he really steps up at home, where he's been dishing out 7.8 assists on average. However, against the Warriors, his numbers dip-he's only managed about 5.6 assists in their recent matchups, and even less at home, with just 5.7 in their last encounters.With the Warriors likely to tighten their defense and the Knicks' offensive flow not quite relying on him as a primary playmaker, Brunson hitting the under makes sense. His recent hit rate shows he's gone under this line in four straight games, which adds to the confidence. Expect him to focus more on scoring, making the under an enticing option for this matchup.

Karl-Anthony Towns (New York Knicks) Under 19.5 Rebounds + Assists (-1000)

As the Knicks gear up to host the Warriors, all eyes will be on Karl-Anthony Towns, but we might want to consider the under on his combined rebounds and assists, set at 19.5. Sure, Towns has racked up impressive numbers lately, averaging 12.2 rebounds and 1.8 assists over his last five games. However, when he faces off against the Warriors at home, his numbers take a dip, with just 4 rebounds and 4 assists in those matchups. The Warriors typically pose a unique challenge, and Towns has only hit the 20 mark in these specific situations a mere 4 times on his home court. With an overall hit rate of 20/20 recently, it's tempting to think he'll keep that up. But given the matchup and his recent home averages, targeting the under seems like the savvy play here, especially with a projected stat value of only 14.52.

Obi Toppin (Indiana Pacers) Over 8.5 Points (-130)

As the Indiana Pacers head into Milwaukee, eyes will be on Obi Toppin, especially with a points line set at 8.5. Toppin has been heating up recently, averaging 11.4 points over his last five games. More telling is his performance away from home, where he's managed to notch 8.6 points per game. Against the Bucks, he's historically fared even better, averaging almost 9.8 points when playing in Milwaukee. With a solid hit rate of 12 out of his last 20 away games exceeding this line, Toppin is in a prime position. The Bucks' defense can be suspect at times, and with Toppin's last four games showing him clear for over 8.5 points three times, it feels like a smart play to back him for the over. With an expected stat value of 12.11, we're confident he'll exceed this threshold once again.

Russell Westbrook (Denver Nuggets) Under 5.5 Rebounds (-147)

As the Kings host the Jazz, all eyes will be on Russell Westbrook, but savvy bettors should consider a different angle-taking the Under on his rebounds at 5.5. Westbrook's recent performances tell a compelling story; he's averaged just 3.2 rebounds in his last five games, and while he's slightly better at home with 4.4, that still falls short of the mark. The Jazz are no slouches on the glass either, allowing only 4.6 rebounds per game to opposing guards.Moreover, Westbrook's hit rate is a telling indicator-he's gone Under in all of his last eight games, with a perfect 4-for-4 record at home. With an expected stat value of just 4.05, it's clear that this matchup favors the Under. If you're looking for a strategic play, targeting Westbrook's rebounds could pay dividends in a game where he may not be as involved on the boards as some expect.