Best NBA Parlay Picks Today, Thursday 04/09 (5-Leg) : Beat the Books

As Cooper Flagg heads into this matchup against the Suns, the numbers suggest a solid play on the under for his combined points and assists at 41.5. While he's been impressive at home, averaging around 30.4 points and 3.6 assists over his last five, his away numbers tell a different story. On the road, Flagg's scoring dips to 23 points, with assists falling to just 4.4. Against the Mavericks, he's averaged 27 points and 2 assists when playing away, indicating the challenge he faces going against a well-prepared Dallas defense. With an overall hit rate of 18 out of 20 on this under in recent games and a perfect record away, it's clear that while Flagg is a budding star, the odds favor a quieter night in Phoenix. This could be a prime opportunity to capitalize on the value of the under in what could be a tightly contested game.

Cooper Flagg (Dallas Mavericks) Under 48.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-333)

As Cooper Flagg prepares to face off against the Phoenix Suns, targeting the Under 48.5 for his combined points, rebounds, and assists feels like a smart move. On the road, Flagg's numbers dip, averaging just 23 points and 7.4 rebounds in his last five away games, coupled with only 4.4 assists. Against the Suns, his history isn't much better, managing around 27 points in away matchups but struggling to elevate his overall contributions.Considering his recent form, where he's hit the Under in 18 of his last 20 games, including a perfect 13-for-13 on the road, the trends support a quieter night ahead. With an expected stat value of just 32.6, it seems unlikely he'll break through that threshold against a solid Phoenix defense. Taking the Under on Flagg looks like a calculated bet that aligns perfectly with the data.

Cooper Flagg (Dallas Mavericks) Under 42.5 Points + Rebounds (-323)

As the Suns prepare to host the Mavericks, all eyes will be on Cooper Flagg. With the line set at 42.5 for his combined points and rebounds, there's a compelling case for taking the under. Flagg has averaged just 30.4 points and 7.4 rebounds over his last five games, and when you narrow it down to away games, those numbers dip to a modest 23 points and 7.4 rebounds. Against the Mavericks, he's typically finding it tougher, averaging 21.5 points and 5.5 rebounds in their last five matchups. The away trend is particularly telling; he has gone under this mark in all 13 of his last away outings. With an overall hit rate of 90% in his last 20 games, banking on Flagg to fall short of 42.5 seems wise as he faces a Dallas defense that knows him well.

Cooper Flagg (Dallas Mavericks) Under 33.5 Points (-250)

In the upcoming showdown between the Phoenix Suns and the Dallas Mavericks, targeting Cooper Flagg for under 33.5 points feels like a savvy play. While Flagg has dazzled this season, averaging around 30.4 points over his last five outings, his away performance tells a different story. On the road, he's clocked in at just 23 points on average, and against the Mavericks, his numbers dip to about 21.5 points. Moreover, Flagg has been an absolute beast lately, hitting the under in 13 consecutive away games, showcasing how tough it can be for him to find his rhythm outside of familiar territory. With the Mavs likely game-planning to contain him, it's reasonable to expect a scoring night closer to his lower averages. Given these trends, the under on Flagg's points seems like a solid bet, especially considering the implied probability of 71.4% backing this outcome.