Moussa Diabate (Charlotte Hornets) Under 12.5 Rebounds + Assists (-116)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

In tonight's matchup between the Orlando Magic and Charlotte Hornets, targeting Moussa Diabate for under 12.5 combined rebounds and assists feels like a savvy play. Diabate has been solid but not overpowering, averaging just 8.6 rebounds and 3 assists over his last five games. When on the road, those numbers dip slightly, with 8 boards and 3.2 assists per game. Against the Hornets, he's averaged only 7 rebounds and 1.2 assists in their recent encounters. Notably, when playing away, that assist average drops to 2, making the 12.5 total a tough hill to climb. With a hit rate of 75% in his last four games and 66% in his last six away games, the trends favor the under. It seems Diabate might struggle to find the necessary contributions against a Magic defense that limits opportunities. Betting the under here could be a smart move.

Moussa Diabate (Charlotte Hornets) Under 10.5 Rebounds (-125)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Charlotte Hornets roll into Orlando, keep an eye on Moussa Diabate and consider betting the under on his rebounds at 10.5. While Diabate has shown flashes of brilliance, he's been averaging just 8.6 boards over his last five games, and even more telling, only 8 when playing away. Against the Magic, he's been held to just 7 rebounds in recent matchups. Sure, he's found success against them in the past with an average of 10.3 on the road, but those performances seem like outliers rather than the norm. The pressure of playing away could keep him from hitting double digits again. With a hit rate of 5 out of 6 recently, this trend aligns well with the numbers. Diabate's expected value here hovers around 7.93, which makes the under a compelling choice as he battles Orlando's frontcourt.

Brandin Podziemski (Golden State Warriors) Over 11.5 Points (-175)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Golden State Warriors gear up to face the Phoenix Suns, all eyes should be on Brandin Podziemski. This young talent is not just finding his rhythm; he's hitting a sweet spot, averaging nearly 20 points over his last five games. Away from home, he's still managed to net around 17.6 points, showcasing his adaptability in hostile environments.What's particularly telling is his performance against the Suns; he's averaged 14.4 points when facing them on the road. With an impressive 10 out of his last 11 games hitting the over on points, and a remarkable 3 of 4 on the road, Podziemski is clearly in a groove. His expected output of 17.89 points suggests that 11.5 is a number he can comfortably eclipse. Given these trends, betting on Podziemski to go over 11.5 points feels not just plausible, but like a savvy play.

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