Draymond Green (Golden State Warriors) Under 6.5 Assists (-127)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Warriors gear up to face the Suns, targeting Draymond Green for under 6.5 assists feels like a savvy move. Despite his playmaking prowess, recent trends reveal a different narrative, especially when he takes to the road. Over his last seven away games, Green has hit the under in five of them, averaging just 6.6 assists per game. His history against the Suns isn't too promising either; he's managed only 3.4 assists in their last five matchups, a number that doesn't inspire confidence in surpassing that 6.5 mark.With the Suns' defensive scheme likely focusing on limiting his playmaking, the odds favor a lower output. Given Green's expected stat value of only 4.6 assists in this matchup, the under becomes increasingly tempting. In a tight playoff atmosphere, expect him to focus more on defense than distributing, making this prop bet a compelling choice.

Gui Santos (Golden State Warriors) Under 18.5 Points + Rebounds (-127)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Suns prepare to host the Warriors, all eyes are on Gui Santos, but a closer look at the numbers suggests a quieter night for him. Over the last five games, Santos has averaged 14.8 points and 4.8 rebounds, which puts him shy of our target of 18.5 when combined. His away performance dips even further, with averages of just 11.8 points and 6.4 rebounds. Facing the Warriors, he's struggled historically, posting an average of 7.2 points in their last five encounters, with just 8.2 on the road. The Suns' depth can also limit his opportunities, as they lean on a strong supporting cast. With a hit rate of only 2 out of his last 3 games for this line and the overall trend pointing downward, betting the under on Santos feels like the smart play. Expect him to fall short of that 18.5 mark tonight.

Gui Santos (Golden State Warriors) Under 12.5 Points (-106)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Golden State Warriors head into Phoenix, it's an intriguing matchup, but I'm looking closely at Gui Santos for the under on his points total of 12.5. Despite averaging 14.8 points over his last five outings, his numbers take a noticeable dip when he's on the road, clocking in at just 11.8 points away. Even more telling is his performance against the Warriors, where he's managed only 7.2 points on average, and just 8.2 points in their previous away encounters. With the Suns' defensive intensity ramping up at home, it's tough to see Santos breaking through that threshold. He's only hit above this mark in two of his last three games, and his away hit rate stands at a solid 75%, but those past performances don't always translate. This makes the under on 12.5 points a savvy play in this matchup.

See All Our Picks

You're viewing a preview. Subscribe today to unlock the full article and gain access to all our expert insights and best bets - every single day.

Get Bet Better Pro