Best NBA Parlay Picks Today, Tuesday 04/07 (5-Leg) Featuring Leonard Miller!: High Probability Plays

When looking at Leonard Miller's matchup against the Chicago Bulls, the under on his points and rebounds total set at 25.5 seems enticing. His recent form shows that he's been scoring around 13.6 points and pulling down about 6.4 rebounds over his last five games, which comfortably keeps him below the mark. In fact, when he's on the road, those averages dip slightly to 14 points and 6 rebounds. Against the Bulls specifically, Miller has struggled, averaging just 2 points and 1.3 rebounds in their last five encounters. His away performance against them yields an even less impressive 3 points and 2 rebounds. Given his 90% hit rate on this prop in the last 20 games, and the solid model edge suggesting a strong likelihood of staying under, fading Miller in this spot makes a lot of sense. It's all about the matchups, and he doesn't seem to shine here.

Stephen Curry (Golden State Warriors) Over 19.5 Points (-263)

When the Kings roll into the Chase Center, you can bet Stephen Curry is going to make his mark. With an average of 28.6 points over his last five games, Curry has been in electric form, and playing at home only boosts his chances. In fact, he's been a scoring machine against Sacramento, averaging 23.6 points in their last five encounters on home turf. The numbers don't lie; Curry has eclipsed the 19.5 mark in all five of his recent outings and boasts a stellar home hit rate of 14 out of 19 games this season. With an expected stat value pushing close to 29 points, the odds are heavily in his favor. The Kings will need to bring their A-game to contain him, but with Curry's current rhythm, it's hard to imagine him falling short of that total. This is a prime opportunity to back the sharpshooter to shine.

Luke Kennard (Los Angeles Lakers) Under 25.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-122)

As the Lakers gear up to face the Thunder, Luke Kennard finds himself in a tough spot. Despite the glitz of playing at home, his recent numbers tell a different story. Over his last five games, he's averaging just 9.6 points, 5.4 rebounds, and 3.6 assists-totals that don't even scratch the surface of the 25.5 mark set for his points, rebounds, and assists combined.Even more telling is his home performance, where he's been even quieter, averaging a mere 6.4 points and 1.8 rebounds. Against Oklahoma City, his stats dip further; he's only managed 4.6 points and 2.2 rebounds in their recent matchups. Considering he's hit the under in 19 of his last 20 games, including all 20 at home, it's hard to see him breaking through this total against a competitive Thunder squad. It feels like a solid play to take the

Will Riley (Washington Wizards) Under 21.5 Points (-118)

As the Wizards prepare to host the Bulls, all eyes are on Will Riley, but the smart money might be on the Under for his points total set at 21.5. Despite playing at home, Riley has struggled to find his rhythm lately, particularly against a Bulls defense that has tightened its grip on opposing scorers. In fact, over his last 20 games, Riley has only eclipsed the 21.5 mark 16 times, and remarkably, he hasn't done so in the last 20 at home. What's more, his expected stat value hovers around a modest 13.05, suggesting he's not just off his game but potentially facing a tough night against Chicago's perimeter defense. With an implied probability of 54.1% leaning toward the Under, it seems prudent to capitalize on this trend. Riley's recent form combined with the matchup dynamics paints a compelling picture for bettors looking to take the Under on his points total.