Best NBA Parlay Picks Today, Wednesday 04/08 (7-Leg) Featuring Luke Kennard!: High Probability Plays

As the Lakers prepare to host the Thunder, all eyes will be on Luke Kennard, but not for the reasons some might expect. With the line set at 6.5 assists, the numbers suggest that going under is the smart play. Kennard has averaged just 3.6 assists over his last five games, and at home, that figure dips even lower to 1.6. Against the Thunder, he's managed only 2.8 assists at home in recent matchups, which aligns with his current form. In fact, his last 20 games show a staggering hit rate of 95% on this under, emphasizing his struggle to find playmaking opportunities in this role. Given the Thunder's defensive schemes and Kennard's reduced output, betting the under feels not just safe but savvy as he likely focuses more on scoring rather than playmaking in this pivotal matchup.

Cooper Flagg (Dallas Mavericks) Under 34.5 Points (-345)

When the Dallas Mavericks take on the Los Angeles Clippers, all eyes will be on Cooper Flagg, but betting the under on his points at 34.5 feels like the smart play here. Flagg has been exceptional lately, averaging 30.2 points in his last five games. However, on the road, that average dips to a more modest 23.4. What's even more telling is his performance against the Clippers, where he typically scores around 23 points. Given the pressure of this matchup and the defensive adjustments the Clippers are likely to deploy, it's reasonable to expect Flagg to struggle to reach that lofty threshold. Not to mention, he's hit the under in 18 of his last 20 games and has a perfect record away. With an implied probability of 77.5% for the under, it feels like a solid call to bank on Flagg falling short of that 34.5 mark.

Cooper Flagg (Dallas Mavericks) Under 48.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-345)

When the Clippers face the Mavericks, targeting Cooper Flagg for an under on his combined points, rebounds, and assists feels like a savvy move. Flagg has been a bit of a mixed bag on the road, averaging just 23.4 points away, significantly below the 48.5 mark we're focusing on. His recent performances against the Mavericks, where he's averaged only 23 points and 3.3 assists, suggest he's struggled to find his rhythm against this squad.While he's shown flashes of brilliance, his overall hit rate is impressive, but it's worth noting that he's also hit the under in 12 straight away games. The Mavericks' defense is no pushover, too, holding him to an average of 7.7 rebounds in those matchups. Given these factors, we're leaning towards a solid under play on Flagg in this contest.

Luke Kennard (Los Angeles Lakers) Under 26.5 Points + Assists (-357)

As the Lakers gear up to face the Thunder, targeting Luke Kennard for an under bet on points and assists feels like a smart move. Over his last five games, he's averaged just 9.6 points and 3.6 assists, translating to a modest 13.2 combined. Even more telling is his performance at home, where those numbers drop to 6.4 points and 1.6 assists. Facing Oklahoma City, Kennard has struggled historically, averaging just 7 points and 2.8 assists at home against them. With a remarkable 20-for-20 hit rate on the under in his last 20 games, it's clear that Kennard has been consistent in not exceeding expectations. The Lakers' offense is deep, which means Kennard's role may not expand significantly. Given these trends, betting on him to stay under 26.5 feels like a solid play.

Cooper Flagg (Dallas Mavericks) Under 40.5 Points + Assists (-345)

As the Mavericks gear up to face the Clippers, all eyes are on rookie sensation Cooper Flagg. However, betting on him to go over 40.5 points and assists feels like a stretch. Historically, Flagg has thrived at home, but his away performances tell a different story. Averaging just 23.4 points and 6 assists on the road, he's shown a tendency to underperform outside of familiar confines.Against the Clippers, he's averaged only 23 points and 3.3 assists, and let's not forget his recent away games, where he consistently fell short of expectations. With an impressive 20-for-20 hit rate under this threshold in his last 20 away games, it's clear that the odds favor the under. The Mavericks' defensive intensity could further stifle Flagg's production, making the under on 40.5 a compelling play in this matchup.

Luke Kennard (Los Angeles Lakers) Under 25.5 Points + Rebounds (-345)

When it comes to Luke Kennard, targeting the under on his combined points and rebounds at 25.5 feels like a smart play. Over his last 20 games, he's hit this mark just once, showcasing a staggering 19 out of 20 success rate for the under. At home, the trend is even more pronounced-he's gone under every single time in his last 20 home appearances.In his recent outings, Kennard has been averaging just 6.4 points and 1.8 rebounds at home, a far cry from the lofty total we're looking at. Facing the Oklahoma City Thunder, he's managed only 4.6 points and 2.2 rebounds in their last five meetings at home. With these numbers in mind, it's hard to see him breaking through that 25.5 mark. This matchup is ripe for the under, making it a compelling pick to consider.