Brisbane Lions vs Gold Coast Suns Prediction & Picks : Stat-Based Insights

Callum Ah Chee, playing at home, has been steadily improving in recent games with an average of 0.4 goals over the last five home matches. Facing Gold Coast Suns, against whom he has scored an average of 1.3 goals in their past encounters, Ah Chee is poised to exploit their defense. His average of 2.6 shots at goal and 5.6 score involvements per game indicate his active role in Brisbane's forward line. Although his goal accuracy sits at 16.7%, his consistent goal-scoring opportunities, marked by 3.8 inside 50s per game, make him a favorable pick to snag a goal at least once, surpassing the line of 0.5 goals set in this matchup.

Levi Ashcroft (Brisbane Lions) Over 14.5 Disposals (-250)

Levi Ashcroft's consistent form, especially in his last five home games, supports betting on him to surpass 14.5 disposals against the Gold Coast Suns. With a model-predicted 18.5 disposals and a solid 71.4% implied probability, Ashcroft's recent average of 18.8 disposals at home, combined with his high disposalefficiency of 70.6%, indicates a strong chance of exceeding the line. His ability to maintain a hit streak of 4 at home, averaging 12.6 kicks and 6.2 handballs in his last five home games, further boosts his potential to meet this mark. Additionally, his historical performance against the Suns, averaging 29 disposals in their last five encounters, adds weight to this favorable bet.

Bailey Humphrey (Gold Coast SUNS) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-417)

Bailey Humphrey presents a solid opportunity to score in the upcoming game based on his consistent recent form. With an impressive average of 1.4 goals in his last 5 away games and facing an opponent where he also maintains a 0.5 goal average, Humphrey's scoring potential is promising. His goal accuracy of 36.3% and a decent 3.6 inside 50s per game further support his ability to convert opportunities. Considering his recent trend of hitting an average of 2 goals per game overall, the model's prediction of 1.4 goals for this match indicates a good chance for him to snag a goal, making the "Over 0.5 Goals Anytime" bet on Bailey Humphrey a favorable choice.

Darcy Wilmot (Brisbane Lions) Over 19.5 Disposals (-161)

Darcy Wilmot is poised to shine in the upcoming game against Gold Coast Suns at Gabba. With a model prediction of 21.8 disposals and a solid recent average of 21.4 disposals in his last five home games, Wilmot's consistency is key. His impressive 77.8% disposal efficiency and strong stats in contested possessions, intercepts, and metres gained further support this bet. Facing an opponent he has historically performed well against, averaging 21 disposals in their last five matchups, Wilmot's current hit streak and overall hit rate of 4/4 make him a reliable choice to surpass the 19.5 disposals line set by sportsbet.

Wil Powell (Gold Coast SUNS) Over 14.5 Disposals (-323)

Wil Powell is poised to shine in the upcoming game against Brisbane. With an average of 17.2 disposals in his last five away games, surpassing the line of 14.5 seems well within his reach. His recent form against Brisbane with an average of 17.7 disposals only strengthens this bet. Powell's consistency is evident with a 76.4% disposal efficiency and a streak of hitting 6 out of 7 games away. His overall stats also support this pick, boasting an average of 18.8 disposals. The model's prediction of 19 disposals aligns with Powell's recent performance, making the Over on his disposals a smart choice for this clash at the Gabba.