Carolina Hurricanes vs New York Rangers : New York Rangers +1.5 (-175)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on New York Rangers +1.5 is driven by the recent defensive performance of both teams and the model's prediction. The Rangers have kept goals against to an average of just 1.8 in their last five away games, and 2 overall in their last five games. This contrasts with the Hurricanes, who have conceded an average of 2.6 and 3.2 goals in their last five home and overall games respectively. Although the Hurricanes have a better recent record, their higher goals against average indicates defensive vulnerability that the Rangers could exploit. The model’s prediction of -0.04 also hints at a close game. Thus, a bet on the Rangers +1.5 is reasonable, as it would win even if the Rangers lose by a single goal. This approach capitalizes on both the Rangers' solid defensive statistics and the expected tightness of the game.
Igor Shesterkin (New York Rangers) Under 27.5 Saves (-125)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The rationale for betting on Igor Shesterkin's under 27.5 'Player Total Saves' in the game against Carolina Hurricanes is supported by his recent performance data and model prediction. In his last five away games, Shesterkin's average number of saves is 25.2, slightly lower than the line set at 27.5. This figure aligns closely with the model prediction of 25.59 saves. His shots against average, which directly impacts the number of saves a goalie can make, is also relatively low at 27.2 in his last five away games. Additionally, Shesterkin's recent performance trends show that he has hit the under in 5 out of his last 6 away games and in 5 out of his last 7 games overall. Therefore, the data suggests that the likelihood of Shesterkin making under 27.5 saves is statistically higher.
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