Arvid Soderblom (Chicago Blackhawks) Under 27.5 Saves (-125)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The rationale for betting on Arvid Soderblom for Under 27.5 in the 'Player Total Saves' market is primarily driven by his performance data and model insights. Soderblom's L5 home games demonstrate an average of 27.2 saves, which is slightly below the proposed line of 27.5. This trend suggests a propensity for Soderblom to remain under the line. Additionally, his L5 home games show an average of 30.8 shots against him, indicating that not every shot requires a save. The model prediction of 24.66, albeit with a standard deviation of 7.5, further supports the likelihood of him staying under the line. Moreover, despite a strong home games hit streak, his overall current hit streak is zero, suggesting a potential downturn in performance. Therefore, based on these statistical trends and model predictions, betting under 27.5 for Soderblom's total saves seems reasonable.
Connor Bedard (Chicago Blackhawks) Yes Anytime Goalscorer (+125)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The wager on Connor Bedard to score at any time during the Blackhawks vs Flames game is backed by several performance indicators. Bedard's average of 1 goal per game in his last five home games, along with an average of 4.8 shots per game, demonstrate his offensive presence when playing at home. These statistics are further supported by his overall performance, averaging 0.8 goals and 3.6 shots per game in his last five games. His hit rate also strengthens this bet - he has scored in 3 out of his last 4 home games, and 4 out of his last 5 overall. Although his current home games hit streak is 0, his high goal average and positive hit rate suggest that he is due for a goal. These factors, in conjunction with the model prediction, underline the potential value in this bet.
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