Evan Mobley (Cleveland Cavaliers) Under 11.5 Rebounds (+104)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Cavaliers gear up to face the Hawks, all eyes will be on Evan Mobley, but not in the way you might think. Despite his potential, we're leaning toward the Under on his rebounds total of 11.5. Sure, he's had some standout games, averaging 9.4 rebounds over his last five, but when you dive into his home stats, it's telling. He's only grabbing 8.6 boards on his own court recently. The Hawks present a unique challenge-while Mobley has pulled down 11.6 against them at home, that's more of an outlier than a trend. In fact, he's hit the Under in three straight games and hasn't crossed 11.5 in ten consecutive home matchups. With a solid expectation of around 8.64 boards, the odds suggest a more modest performance is likely. Sometimes, the numbers tell a clearer story than the highlight reels.

Evan Mobley (Cleveland Cavaliers) Under 22.5 Points (+100)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

When the Cleveland Cavaliers host the Atlanta Hawks, all eyes will be on Evan Mobley, but don't be surprised if he falls short of the 22.5-point mark. Over his last five games, Mobley has averaged just 19.8 points, and at home, that number dips to 16.6. Facing the Hawks, who have proven to be a challenging matchup for him, he's only managed 15.8 points in their latest encounters at the Cavs' arena. Despite the buzz around Mobley, his recent performance suggests he might struggle to hit that elevated total. With an expected stat value of 17.36 and a hit rate of only 2 out of his last 3 games, it seems the under is the smart play here. As the Cavaliers look to secure a solid game plan against Atlanta, Mobley might just be a cog in the machine rather than the star of the show on Wednesday night.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker (Atlanta Hawks) Under 4.5 Threes Made (-125)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Cavaliers gear up to face the Hawks, targeting Nickeil Alexander-Walker for under 4.5 threes made feels like a savvy move. Despite his recent success, with an impressive overall hit rate of 9 out of his last 11 outings, the numbers tell a different story when he's on the road. Averaging just 3 threes per game away, it's clear that the environment shifts his performance. Against the Hawks, the stats become even more telling; he's only managed to sink 1 three per game historically, and remarkably, he hasn't hit a single one in their previous away matchups. With an expected value of just 3.05 threes for this game, there's a strong case for him falling short of that 4.5 mark. Given the Cavaliers' reliance on other scoring options, it's a calculated bet to bank on Alexander-Walker staying under the threshold tonight.

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