Collingwood Magpies vs Brisbane Lions Prediction & Picks : Full Match Breakdown & Bets

Charlie Cameron is in good scoring form, averaging 1.4 goals in his last 5 away games. With an average of 2.8 shots at goal and 4.2 score involvements per game, his attacking impact is consistent. Against Collingwood, he has an average of 2 goals in his last 5 away matchups. His goal accuracy of 45.0% is solid, indicating he regularly hits the target. The model predicts him to score 1.3 goals, showing a positive trend. Given his recent performance and historical success against Collingwood, backing Cameron to score anytime is a sound choice.

Cam Rayner (Brisbane Lions) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-400)

Cam Rayner is a strong bet to score anytime based on his recent form. With an average of 2.4 goals in his last 5 away games and a goal accuracy of 63.3%, he consistently finds the big sticks. Additionally, his involvement in scoring plays with an average of 5.4 score involvements per game highlights his impact. Facing Collingwood, against whom he averages 1 goal in his last 5 away games, Rayner is poised to capitalize on his opportunities. With an implied probability of 80.0% and a model edge of 7.9%, the data suggests Rayner is in a prime position to snag a goal in this matchup at the MCG.

Scott Pendlebury (Collingwood) Over 19.5 Disposals (-227)

Scott Pendlebury is in top form, averaging 22.8 disposals in his last five home games. With an impressive 78.3% disposal efficiency and a consistent hit streak, he's likely to exceed 19.5 disposals against Brisbane. Facing the Lions, whom he's averaged 22.8 disposals against in his last five matchups, Pendlebury's all-round performance, including 11.4 kicks and 11.4 handballs per game, makes him a strong bet for surpassing the line. His ability to cover ground with 278.6 meters gained on average further supports the prediction. Bet on Pendlebury to continue his impactful run and secure a high number of disposals at the MCG.

Zac Bailey (Brisbane Lions) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-333)

Zac Bailey is a strong candidate to snag a goal in the upcoming Collingwood vs. Brisbane Lions clash. With a solid average of 1.4 goals in his last five away games and facing a team where he scores an average of 1.8 goals, Bailey's recent form and historical performance against Collingwood suggest a high probability of hitting the back of the net. His average of 3.8 shots at goal and 6.4 score involvements in away games further support his goal-scoring capabilities. Considering his consistent goal-scoring record and the model's prediction of 1.2 goals with a standard deviation of 0.8, betting on Bailey to score anytime seems like a promising choice for this match.

Collingwood Magpies vs Brisbane Lions : Brisbane Lions Win (+123)

The bet on Brisbane Lions to win against Collingwood Magpies is supported by their recent performance metrics. Brisbane has shown stronger form with higher average points scored (85.2) compared to Collingwood's points conceded (76.6). Additionally, Brisbane's superior numbers in contested possessions (129.4), inside 50s (57.2), and total clearances (38.8) suggest they can control the game's tempo. Collingwood, on the other hand, has struggled defensively, allowing an average of 74.2 points against in their last five home games. These factors indicate that Brisbane Lions are better positioned to secure the victory based on their recent performances and key statistical advantages.