LeBron James (Los Angeles Lakers) Under 1.5 Threes Made (-103)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Lakers head into Dallas, all eyes will be on LeBron James, but a savvy bet to consider is the under on his three-pointers made, set at 1.5. Sure, he's capable of explosive performances, but recent trends suggest otherwise. Over his last five games, LeBron has averaged just 0.4 threes on the road. Even against the Mavericks, where he's managed only 1.2 threes in recent visits, he's struggled to find his rhythm from beyond the arc.With the Mavericks' defense tightening up, particularly against perimeter shooters, it's reasonable to expect LeBron may focus more on facilitating than firing from distance. Historically, he's hit the under in 8 straight games, and with a hit rate of 5 for 5 in away games, the signs are pointing toward a quieter night from three-point land. This matchup could see him underperforming, making the under on his threes a compelling narrative line to follow

Rui Hachimura (Los Angeles Lakers) Under 1.5 Threes Made (+111)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Lakers roll into Dallas, all eyes will be on Rui Hachimura, but there's a compelling case for taking the under on his three-pointers made at 1.5. Sure, he's had a stellar performance against the Mavericks in the past, averaging 2.6 threes over their last five matchups. However, recent form tells a different story. Hachimura has only hit 0.6 threes per game in his last five outings, and his away average is equally low at 0.6 as well. Even more telling is his recent record-while he's nailed 5 out of 6 in total, he's hit the under in his last three away games, showcasing a clear trend. With the Mavericks' defense tightening and Hachimura's current rhythm, expecting him to go over 1.5 just feels like setting ourselves up for disappointment. The smart play here is the under, as he continues to find his footing away from

Bronny James (Los Angeles Lakers) Under 1.5 Threes Made (-270)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Lakers gear up to face the Mavericks in Dallas, all eyes will be on Bronny James, but bettors might want to consider a different angle by targeting the under on his three-pointers made at 1.5. While Bronny has shown flashes of brilliance, he's averaging just 0.6 threes over his last five games, and even more telling, he hasn't connected from beyond the arc against the Mavericks in their last two encounters. The pressure of playing away in front of a hostile crowd could further hinder his rhythm. Historically, Bronny shines in most matchups but has only hit the over on this prop in one of his last nine games, with a solid away hit rate of 15 out of 18 games suggesting he thrives elsewhere. Given these factors, betting the under looks like a savvy move as the Lakers try to navigate a tough road challenge.

Luke Kennard (Los Angeles Lakers) Under 2.5 Threes Made (-156)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Los Angeles Lakers visit the Dallas Mavericks, Luke Kennard finds himself in a tricky spot. While he has been effective lately, averaging just 1.4 threes made on the road, his production tends to dip when facing the Mavericks. In fact, when playing away against them, he's only managed 0.8 threes per game over their last encounters. With an average of 1.6 threes against the league, it's clear that Kennard's shooting is more of a home-court advantage.Even though he's hit the under in 11 of his last 13 games, that success has come primarily in friendly confines. The Mavericks' defense is adept at limiting outside shots, and Kennard's numbers suggest he may struggle to find his rhythm tonight. With the pressure of the away game and the Mavericks' defensive strategies, betting on Kennard to go under 2.5 threes feels like a smart play.

Dallas Mavericks vs Los Angeles Lakers : Los Angeles Lakers win (-122)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The Lakers are a solid bet on the Moneyline market for their match against the Mavericks. The reasoning behind this is rooted in their consistently strong performance, as evidenced by our model's prediction of 0.91. This is a powerful indicator of their superior game strategy and execution. Moreover, the calculated model edge of 16.1% underlines the Lakers' advantage over the Mavericks. This isn't just a random number; it's a significant edge that reflects the Lakers' ability to consistently outperform expectations. The implied probability of 54.9% also reinforces our confidence in this bet. Despite the Mavericks hosting, the stats suggest that the Lakers have a notably higher probability of coming out on top. In essence, the numbers illustrate a story of a team in the Lakers that's set to dominate their upcoming game.

Naji Marshall (Dallas Mavericks) Over 19.5 Points + Rebounds (-103)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Naji Marshall is primed for a breakout performance against the Lakers this Sunday. Playing at home, he's been a force, hitting the Over 19.5 points and rebounds in 12 of his last 16 games. With an average of 18.8 points and 3.8 rebounds over his last five outings, his numbers are strong, but what's even more compelling is his matchup against Los Angeles. He's averaged 14.4 points and 6 rebounds against them recently, and at home, those figures jump to 8.2 points and nearly 6 boards. The Mavericks will lean on him to deliver, especially with the stakes high. His expected stat value of 22.43 indicates he's not just meeting expectations; he's set to exceed them. Given his momentum and the favorable home environment, backing Marshall to go Over 19.5 feels like a smart play in this pivotal matchup.

See All Our Picks

You're viewing a preview. Subscribe today to unlock the full article and gain access to all our expert insights and best bets - every single day.

Get Bet Better Pro