Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Under 27.5 Rebounds + Assists (-345)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Denver Nuggets prepare to face the Memphis Grizzlies at home, all eyes will undoubtedly be on Nikola Jokic. However, when it comes to his rebounds and assists combined, the under 27.5 seems like the savvy play. Despite showcasing his usual brilliance with averages of 14.6 rebounds and 13 assists over the last five home games, Jokic's recent output against the Grizzlies reveals a potential dip-averaging just 14 rebounds and 10.4 assists in their past matchups. With a hit rate of 4 out of 5 games under this line recently, including a perfect streak at home, it appears that the defensive strategies Memphis employs could limit his numbers. Jokic may still have a fantastic game, but with the odds suggesting a 77.5% chance of staying under that mark, taking the under feels like a calculated play in this high-stakes matchup.

Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Under 12.5 Assists (-312)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Denver Nuggets gear up to face the Memphis Grizzlies, all eyes will be on Nikola Jokic, but this might be a perfect opportunity to target the under on his assists prop at 12.5. While Jokic typically dazzles, his recent form suggests a regression at home, averaging just 13 assists in his last five games and 10.4 against Memphis specifically. With the Grizzlies' defense often tightening up, Jokic's playmaking opportunities might dwindle, especially as he focuses on scoring with a more aggressive approach. The expected stat value of 8.68 significantly underlines the likelihood of him falling short of that 12.5 mark. Given these trends and the implied probability of 75.8%, this bet makes compelling sense. So, while Jokic is a phenomenal talent, tonight may see him dish out fewer assists than usual in what promises to be a tightly contested matchup.

Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Over 21.5 Points (-208)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

When the Denver Nuggets host the Memphis Grizzlies, all eyes should be on Nikola Jokic to light up the scoreboard. With an average of 31.2 points in his last five home games, Jokic has been unstoppable on his home court. He's not just hitting the over; he's been a scoring machine, averaging nearly 30 points overall in that span. The Grizzlies have struggled to contain him, with Jokic putting up 25 points against them at home recently. His last 10 games show that he's hit the over on this prop 9 out of 10 times, and let's not overlook that he's a force to be reckoned with in crucial matchups, especially at home. With an expected stat value of nearly 29 points, betting on Jokic to surpass 21.5 feels like a solid play. Trust the Joker to shine bright when the lights are on in Denver.

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