Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Under 24.5 Rebounds + Assists (-105)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Denver Nuggets gear up to face the San Antonio Spurs, all eyes will be on Nikola Jokic, but here's the catch: we're looking at him to finish under 24.5 combined rebounds and assists. While Jokic is undeniably a beast on the court, his recent averages tell a different story. Over his last five games at home, he's been racking up about 27 total, but against the Spurs specifically, those numbers dip-averaging just 22.6 combined. With the Nuggets likely to dominate this matchup, expect Jokic to be more of a facilitator than a stat-stuffer, especially since his home hit rate for this prop stands at 54%. The Spurs' defense has been surprisingly effective against big men lately, which could further limit his contributions. Given all this context, a calculated bet on the under feels like the smart play as we navigate this intriguing matchup.

Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Under 11.5 Assists (-139)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Denver Nuggets prepare to face off against the San Antonio Spurs at home, all eyes will be on Nikola Jokic. While he's been a facilitator extraordinaire, averaging 13.6 assists over his last five games, there's a compelling case for taking the under on his assist total of 11.5. Historically, Jokic tends to dial it back against the Spurs, posting an average of just 8.8 assists at home against them. Plus, with a significant home hit rate of only 60% in his last 15 matchups, it's clear that the Spurs often stymie his playmaking prowess. With an expected stat value hovering around 9, it seems that this matchup may see Jokic focusing more on scoring than distributing. Given these trends, betting on Jokic to finish below 11.5 assists could be a savvy move.

Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Over 24.5 Points (-120)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

When the Denver Nuggets take on the San Antonio Spurs, all eyes should be on Nikola Jokic, particularly for the points over 24.5. Jokic has a knack for rising to the occasion, especially at home, where he's averaging 25 points over his last five games. The Spurs, meanwhile, have been a generous matchup for him; he's lit them up for an impressive 32.2 points on average in their recent encounters, and that jumps to 32.8 when playing at altitude in Denver.With the Nuggets on familiar ground, and Jokic's recent form showing he's hit the over 24.5 in two of his last three home games, the stars seem aligned. His expected stat value of 28.52 suggests he's not just likely to meet this mark but could exceed it with ease. In a game where he thrives, backing Jokic to go over 24.5 points feels like a smart wager.

See All Our Picks

You're viewing a preview. Subscribe today to unlock the full article and gain access to all our expert insights and best bets - every single day.

Get Bet Better Pro