Connor Bedard (Chicago Blackhawks) Over 2.5 Shots On Goal (-175)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Connor Bedard's consistent performance makes this an appealing bet. His average shots on goal in his last five games, both overall and away, is 4, which is notably higher than the betting line of 2.5. This indicates a consistent ability to surpass the line. Additionally, Bedard's current streaks, both overall and in away games, show that he's been meeting or exceeding this line for multiple games in a row. In fact, he has hit the mark in all of his last six away games and ten overall games. The model prediction also supports this trend, predicting an average of 3.73 shots on goal, well above the betting line. The standard deviation of 1.38 indicates that his performance does vary, but even at the lower end of the range, he's still likely to exceed the line. All these factors make a strong case for betting over 2.5 on Bedard's shots on goal.
Detroit Red Wings vs Chicago Blackhawks : Chicago Blackhawks +1.5 (-169)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Chicago Blackhawks at 1.5 in the Puck Line market is backed by several key statistical factors. Firstly, the Blackhawks' average goals scored in their last five games is higher than the Red Wings' average goals against, indicating a strong offensive capability. This is further supported by the Blackhawks' superior assists average, which demonstrates effective team play. Secondly, despite the Red Wings' impressive home record, their overall performance has been less consistent, as shown by their 2-3 overall record compared to the Blackhawks' equal standing, but on away games. Lastly, the Blackhawks' model prediction value of 0.04, though relatively low, suggests a slight edge. This, coupled with the Blackhawks' marginally better goals for and against averages, supports the rationale for this bet. It's a calculated risk, projecting that the Blackhawks' offensive strength and recent form will edge out the Red Wings' home advantage.
John Gibson (Detroit Red Wings) Over 21.5 Saves (-110)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The betting rationale for choosing Over 21.5 for John Gibson in the Player Total Saves market is based on his recent performance data and the prediction model. Gibson's L5 overall saves average is 26.4, comfortably above the betting line. His L5 home games saves average, however, is slightly below the line at 20.6. However, considering the model's prediction of 24.73 saves for the upcoming game, it suggests Gibson is likely to perform closer to his overall average. Additionally, Gibson's overall hit rate in the last 5 games is 4 out of 5, indicating a strong recent performance trend. Given these factors, the bet favors Gibson making more than 21.5 saves in the upcoming game against the Chicago Blackhawks. As always, while past performance and predictive models are indicative, they do not guarantee future outcomes.
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