Espanyol vs Villarreal: Espanyol Moneyline (+190)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
Betting on Espanyol to win the match is a calculated risk. Despite their recent poor performance against Villarreal, Espanyol's home record is stronger with 2 wins out of the last 5 games, compared to their overall record. Additionally, Espanyol's average team score at home is slightly higher than their overall average, indicating they perform better when playing on their home field. Furthermore, Espanyol's average opponent score at home is lower than their overall average, suggesting their defense is stronger at home. While Villarreal has a stronger recent record, the variability of football outcomes and the influence of Espanyol's home advantage could tip the balance in favor of Espanyol. This bet is a value play that leverages Espanyol's home performance against Villarreal's away record.
Espanyol vs Villarreal: Espanyol Moneyline (+190)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The bet on Espanyol for the Match Result (3-Way) market in the Espanyol vs Villarreal game is based on Espanyol's home performance. Despite their overall record against Villarreal, Espanyol's recent home performance has been stronger with a 2-3-0 win-draw-loss record. Furthermore, Espanyol's average goal (1.2) and expected goal (0.66) at home are higher than their overall averages, indicating an increased offensive capability at home. Additionally, Espanyol's opponent's expected goal at home (1.14) is lower than Villarreal's expected goal on the road (1.54), suggesting that Espanyol's defense is stronger at home. Therefore, these statistics suggest that Espanyol has a good chance of winning the match at home against Villarreal.
Espanyol vs Villarreal: Draw Moneyline (+240)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The betting rationale for a 'Draw' in the Espanyol vs Villarreal match is based on both teams' recent performance data. Both teams have averaged a score of 1 in their last 5 games, indicating a similar level of offensive capability. Their opponent score averages are also equal at 1, suggesting comparable defensive strength. Espanyol's home record and Villarreal's away record are also similar, with a slight edge to Villarreal, but not significantly enough to predict a definitive win. Furthermore, the Expected Goals (xG) stats for both teams are close, with Espanyol's at 0.52 and Villarreal's at 1.5, further suggesting a potential draw. Lastly, Espanyol's record against Villarreal shows they've managed to secure a draw in the past. Given these statistics, a draw seems to be a plausible outcome for this match.
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