Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid: Rayo Vallecano +4.5 Goal Handicap (-5000)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The bet on 'Rayo Vallecano 4.5' for the Handicap (Alternate) market is driven by Rayo Vallecano's home performance and Real Madrid's away performance. Rayo Vallecano has shown a balanced home record with more wins and draws than losses, and an average of 1.2 goals per game. Their expected goals (xG) at home is higher than the opponent's, indicating they create more scoring opportunities. On the other hand, Real Madrid's away performance shows an average of 1.4 goals per game, with a lower xG than Rayo Vallecano's. This suggests they might not capitalize on their chances as efficiently. Considering the 4.5 goal handicap, it's statistically likely that Rayo Vallecano can either win or lose by less than 4.5 goals, making this bet a reasonable choice based on the performance data.
Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid: Draw Moneyline (+390)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The draw outcome in the Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid match is a plausible bet given the recent performance data. Rayo's home record shows a balanced distribution of wins, draws, and losses (2-2-1), indicating their ability to hold their ground against opponents. In addition, their average goal stats at home (1.2 score, 1 opponent score) align closely with Real Madrid's away stats (1.4 score, 1 opponent score), suggesting a competitive match-up. Furthermore, Rayo's Expected Goals (xG) at home (1.68) is higher than Madrid's away xG (1.34), implying they create more quality chances at home than Madrid does away. Lastly, the head-to-head record between these teams leans towards draws (3 out of the last 5 games). These factors combined make a draw a statistically reasonable outcome for this match.
Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid: Draw Moneyline (+390)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The draw bet for the match between Rayo Vallecano and Real Madrid is backed by several performance statistics. Firstly, Rayo Vallecano's home record shows a balanced set of results (2-2-1), suggesting they can hold their own against opponents. Similarly, Real Madrid's away record (2-1-2) is not overwhelmingly dominant. Secondly, the average scores for both teams are close, with Rayo Vallecano's home score average being 1.2 and Real Madrid's away score average being 1.4. Also, the expected goals (xG) for both teams are fairly similar, indicating a close match. Lastly, the historical head-to-head record shows two draws in the last five matches, which further reinforces the possibility of a draw in this encounter. These factors combined suggest a tight contest, making a draw a reasonable outcome to bet on.
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