Geelong Cats vs Brisbane Lions Prediction & Picks : Stat-Based Insights

Zac Bailey presents a solid opportunity to snag a goal in the upcoming Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions clash. With a recent average of 1.2 goals in away games and a consistent 37.5% goal accuracy, Bailey has been actively involved in scoring situations, boasting 6.6 score involvements per game. His 3.6 shots at goal and 0.8 marks inside 50 further highlight his attacking prowess. Against Geelong, Bailey maintains an average of 0.8 goals in their recent encounters. With a model predicting him to score 1.4 goals, showing an 8.2% edge, Bailey's strong recent form and involvement in scoring plays make him a promising pick to hit the scoreboard in this matchup.

Kai Lohmann (Brisbane Lions) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-244)

Kai Lohmann is a strong bet to score anytime against Geelong Cats due to his recent form. With an average of 0.8 goals per game in away matches and a reliable goal accuracy of 35.0%, Lohmann consistently gets involved in scoring opportunities with an average of 4.4 score involvements. Facing Geelong, where he has historically scored 1.5 goals per game, Lohmann's goal-scoring potential is reinforced. His above-average shots at goal (2.6) and marks inside 50 (1.6) further support his ability to convert opportunities. The model predicting him to score 1.1 goals with a 6.4% edge indicates a high likelihood of him hitting the back of the net, making him a favorable choice for this bet.

Patrick Dangerfield (Geelong Cats) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-357)

Patrick Dangerfield is a strong bet to score anytime against Brisbane Lions based on his recent performance. With an average of 1 goal in his last 5 home games and facing an opponent he typically scores against, Dangerfield's goal-scoring ability is consistent. His average of 2.8 shots at goal and 1.4 marks inside 50 in home games indicate he is actively involved in creating scoring opportunities. Additionally, his 30.0% goal accuracy at home suggests he is efficient in converting chances. Given his recent form and the statistical advantages he holds in terms of goal involvements, shots on goal, and accuracy, the model's prediction of 1.3 goals aligns with the expected outcome of Dangerfield snagging a goal in this matchup.

Gryan Miers (Geelong Cats) Over 19.5 Disposals (-222)

Gryan Miers is a solid bet to surpass 19.5 disposals against Brisbane Lions at the MCG. His recent form, averaging 24.4 disposals in the last 5 home games, coupled with a strong contested possession average of 5.4 and 73.6% disposal efficiency, indicates his ability to consistently find the ball and use it effectively. Facing Brisbane, against whom he averages 20.5 disposals, further strengthens this bet. With a model prediction of 22.6 disposals, Miers' current hit streak of 4 home games and 7 out of 8 overall enhances his reliability. The data aligns well with the model's edge of 4.2%, making the Over a favorable choice for this prop bet.

Callum Ah Chee (Brisbane Lions) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-238)

Callum Ah Chee is a solid pick to snag a goal based on his recent performance metrics. Despite averaging 0.6 goals in his last five away games, he has shown consistency with 3.8 score involvements and 2 shots on goal per game. Facing Geelong Cats, where he averages 1.3 goals in his last five matchups, Ah Chee is poised to capitalize on his opportunities. With an average goal accuracy of 21.7% away, the model's prediction of 1 goal aligns well with his recent form. The combination of his scoring involvement and historical success against Geelong makes Ah Chee a favorable choice to hit the scoreboard in this matchup.