Geelong Cats vs Brisbane Lions Prediction & Picks : Winning Game Angles

Bailey Smith is a solid bet to surpass 24.5 disposals against the Brisbane Lions at the MCG. Smith's recent form, averaging 28.4 disposals in his last five home games with a hit rate of 9/11, suggests he consistently meets or exceeds this line. Facing the Lions, he has maintained a strong average of 23.5 disposals. Additionally, his overall stats of 30.6 disposals and 18/20 hit rate further support his ability to reach this mark. With the model predicting him to hit 29 disposals, 8.3% above the line, and playing at home where he performs well, the odds are in favor of Smith continuing his impressive disposal rate.

Charlie Cameron (Brisbane Lions) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-286)

Charlie Cameron is a strong bet to score anytime against Geelong Cats due to his recent form. With an average of 1 goal per game in his last 5 away matches, Cameron shows consistency in finding the big sticks. His 40% goal accuracy and 2.4 shots at goal per game further support his scoring potential. Additionally, averaging 4.2 score involvements and facing an opponent where he has historically scored 1.2 goals per game, Cameron is well-positioned to continue his scoring streak. With a model predicting him to score 1.2 goals, well above the line of 0.5, the bet on Cameron to snag a goal is backed by his strong recent performances and historical matchup data.

Mark Blicavs (Geelong Cats) Over 9.5 Disposals (-400)

Mark Blicavs is a strong bet to surpass 9.5 disposals against Brisbane Lions at the MCG. With a model predicting him at 15.2 disposals and a solid edge of 7.4%, Blicavs has excelled in recent performances with an average of 17.6 disposals in his last five home games. His consistency is evident with a current hit streak of 12 at home and an impressive hit rate of 12/13 overall. Facing Brisbane, he has historically performed well, averaging 16 disposals in their last five encounters. Blicavs' ability to win contested possessions and intercept combined with his recent form make him a reliable choice to exceed the proposed line.

Kai Lohmann (Brisbane Lions) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-385)

Kai Lohmann is a strong bet to score anytime against Geelong Cats based on his consistent recent form. With an average of 1.4 goals in his last 5 away games and a 55.0% goal accuracy, Lohmann is a reliable goal-scoring threat. Additionally, his average of 3 shots at goal and 4.6 score involvements per game showcase his active involvement in the Lions' attacking plays. Facing Geelong, against whom he has averaged 1.7 goals in their last encounters, Lohmann's goal-scoring potential is further supported. Given these stats and his recent trend, backing Lohmann to snag a goal in this matchup at the MCG seems like a solid bet with a high likelihood of success.

Geelong Cats vs Brisbane Lions : Brisbane Lions 12.5 (-111)

Brisbane Lions +12.5 is a solid bet due to Geelong Cats' recent high-scoring home performances with an average margin of 45.2 and 117.6 points for in their last 5 home games. However, Brisbane's defense has been staunch, conceding an average of only 81.6 points in their last 5 away matches. With Brisbane's ability to keep games close on the road and Geelong's tendency to allow points, the Lions are poised to cover the spread. Additionally, Brisbane's recent overall form with an average margin of 22.2 and 90 points for further supports their capability to stay competitive, making them a strong bet with the given spread.