Jordan Whittington (LA) Under 1.5 Receptions (-172)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The statistical data suggests a rationale for betting on Jordan Whittington to have fewer than 1.5 receptions in the upcoming Rams versus 49ers game. In his last three games, Whittington has only hit this mark once, showing a recent downturn in performance. Furthermore, his performance at home has been inconsistent, with only a 50% hit rate over his last six games. His record against the 49ers is even more concerning, having never hit the mark in previous encounters, both overall and at home. This is further reinforced by his current hit streak against the 49ers, which stands at zero. Overall, while Whittington's hit rate isn't abysmal, his recent performance, combined with his poor record against the 49ers, offers a strong statistical case for betting under 1.5 on his player receptions in the upcoming game.
Jordan Whittington (LA) Under 1.5 Receptions (-175)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
Statistical analysis reveals a strong case for betting on Jordan Whittington to have under 1.5 receptions in the upcoming game between the Los Angeles Rams and the San Francisco 49ers. The data shows that Whittington's overall hit rate for the last 20 games is just 4 out of 11, indicating that he frequently fails to secure more than 1.5 receptions. This trend is even more pronounced when he is playing at home, where his hit rate is only 50% (3 out of 6). Additionally, he has yet to secure over 1.5 receptions in his previous encounters with the 49ers, both at home and overall. Furthermore, his current hit streak against the 49ers stands at zero, suggesting that his performance is not improving against this opponent. The model also provides a slight edge (0.081) towards the 'Under 1.5' outcome. Therefore, the data-driven rationale supports betting on Under 1.
Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers : Under 46.5 Total Points (-102)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The under 46.5 bet in this NFL match is backed by several key statistical insights. Firstly, the home team's last five games have seen an average of 46.2 points scored (24.4 by the home team and 21.8 against), which is slightly under the set total. The away team's games have seen even fewer points, with an average of 45.2 (20.8 for and 24.4 against). Secondly, the expected points added (EPA) data for both teams suggest low-scoring games, as both teams have negative EPA differentials in their away and home games respectively. This indicates that both teams struggle to add points to the scoreboard. Finally, the turnover data also supports the under bet. The home team's games have seen an average of 2.6 turnovers, while the away team's games have seen 2.8. Turnovers often lead to unscored points, further driving down the total
Kyren Williams (LA) Over 14.5 Player reception yds alternate (+182)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The bet on Kyren Williams to achieve Over 14.5 in the 'player_reception_yds_alternate' market for the Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers game is primarily supported by his specific performance against San Francisco. Despite his overall and home hit rates being poor recently (0/3 and 0/5 respectively), Williams has consistently performed well against the 49ers. He has hit this outcome 2/3 times in the last three and five meetings, and has a perfect 2/2 record when playing against them at home. This suggests that Williams tends to perform above his average when facing the 49ers, especially at home. His current hit streak against San Francisco at home is also 2, indicating a positive trend. However, bettors should also consider the risk, as Williams' overall recent performance has been below expectations.
Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers : Under 47.5 Total Points (-115)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The recommended bet is on 'Under 47.5' in the totals market and this is primarily due to the defensive performance of both teams over the last 5 games. The home team has conceded an average of 21.8 points per game while the away team has conceded 24.4 points on average. This combined score is under the 47.5 total points benchmark. The home team's effective play average (EPA) against, which measures the impact of each play on the score of the game, stands at -2.932, indicating a strong defensive performance. The away team also has a negative EPA for at -1.202, showing their defensive prowess. Moreover, both teams have a modest score for, with the home team averaging 24.4 and away team 20.8, which suggests that their offensive performance may not be strong enough to push the total points above 47.5. Finally, the turnover difference for both teams is low
Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers : NA -6 Point Spread (-105)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on the Los Angeles Rams -6 in the 'spreads' market is supported by the team's recent performance data. Over the last five games, the Rams have outscored their opponents by an average of 2.6 points, with a higher overall score for (24.4) than against (21.8). In comparison, the opposing team has a negative point differential (-3.6), indicating they are being outscored by their opponents. Also, the Rams have a positive turnover differential (0.2), while the opposing team has a negative turnover differential (-1.6), suggesting the Rams are better at capitalizing on their opponents' mistakes. Additionally, the Rams have a stronger home record (4-1) compared to the opposing team's away record (2-3), which suggests they perform better in home settings. Lastly, the model's edge (0.0397509157509157) also supports the bet on the Rams, indicating a higher
See All Our Picks
You're viewing a preview. Subscribe today to unlock the full article and gain access to all our expert insights and best bets - every single day.
Get Bet Better Pro