Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers : NA Moneyline (+220)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on the San Francisco 49ers in the head-to-head market is a good choice based on the team's recent performance data. The 49ers have demonstrated a stronger offensive and defensive performance than their opponents in their last five games. They have averaged 24.4 points per game, compared to the opponents' 20.8. Their overall point difference for the last five games is positive (+2.6), unlike their opponents who have a negative difference (-3.6). Furthermore, the 49ers have a positive Expected Points Added (EPA) differential of 3.02, which speaks to their efficiency at both ends of the field. Their home record is also superior, with the 49ers winning four out of their last five home games, compared to their opponents, who have won only two out of five on the road. Additionally, the 49ers have a positive turnover differential, which suggests that their defense has been more successful at forcing turnovers than their opponents
Jordan Whittington (LA) Under 1.5 Receptions (-172)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The statistical data suggests a rationale for betting on Jordan Whittington to have fewer than 1.5 receptions in the upcoming Rams versus 49ers game. In his last three games, Whittington has only hit this mark once, showing a recent downturn in performance. Furthermore, his performance at home has been inconsistent, with only a 50% hit rate over his last six games. His record against the 49ers is even more concerning, having never hit the mark in previous encounters, both overall and at home. This is further reinforced by his current hit streak against the 49ers, which stands at zero. Overall, while Whittington's hit rate isn't abysmal, his recent performance, combined with his poor record against the 49ers, offers a strong statistical case for betting under 1.5 on his player receptions in the upcoming game.
Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers : Under 47.5 Total Points (-115)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The recommended bet is on 'Under 47.5' in the totals market and this is primarily due to the defensive performance of both teams over the last 5 games. The home team has conceded an average of 21.8 points per game while the away team has conceded 24.4 points on average. This combined score is under the 47.5 total points benchmark. The home team's effective play average (EPA) against, which measures the impact of each play on the score of the game, stands at -2.932, indicating a strong defensive performance. The away team also has a negative EPA for at -1.202, showing their defensive prowess. Moreover, both teams have a modest score for, with the home team averaging 24.4 and away team 20.8, which suggests that their offensive performance may not be strong enough to push the total points above 47.5. Finally, the turnover difference for both teams is low
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