Victor Wembanyama (San Antonio Spurs) Under 43.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-115)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Spurs head into Memphis, all eyes will be on Victor Wembanyama, but betting on him to hit the over of 43.5 combined points, rebounds, and assists feels risky. In his last five games, he's averaged 23.8 points, 11.2 rebounds, and 3.2 assists, which totals just over 38. The trend is even more telling away from home, where his averages dip slightly to 20 points, 11.4 rebounds, and 3 assists. Against Memphis, he's had decent outings, but his overall performance against them suggests a ceiling around 23.8 points and 7.2 rebounds, making it tough to reach that 43.5 mark. With a hit rate of just 10 out of his last 11 away games on the under, and an expected stat value hovering around 36.63, it's hard to see Wembanyama surpassing that threshold tonight. Let's keep

Olivier-Maxence Prosper (Memphis Grizzlies) Under 1.5 Threes Made (-159)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Memphis Grizzlies prepare to take on the San Antonio Spurs, all eyes should be on Olivier-Maxence Prosper's three-point shooting. While he's had his moments, the numbers suggest a tough night for him from beyond the arc. Over the last five games, Prosper is averaging just 1.2 threes made, and when facing the Spurs at home, he hasn't hit a single triple. With a home hit rate of 17 out of his last 20 games, you might think he's a threat, but those numbers can be misleading. He's also been held to under 1.5 threes in all three matchups against San Antonio this season. Given the Spurs' defensive strategies and the Grizzlies' overall rhythm, it's prudent to take the under here. Prosper's expected stat value aligns with this trend, making the under on 1.5 threes a savvy choice for this matchup.

Dylan Harper (San Antonio Spurs) Under 15.5 Points (-118)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

When it comes to Dylan Harper's scoring this season, it's clear that playing away from home has been a different story for him. Averaging just 4 points against the Spurs in his last five away matchups, Harper struggles to find his rhythm in hostile territory. While his overall average sits at 15.6, it's worth noting that he's hit under 15.5 in 8 of his last 10 away games. With the Grizzlies facing a Spurs team that's been defensively solid, we can reasonably expect Harper to fall short of that 15.5 mark. The numbers back this up, as his expected stat value sits at just 11.36, and he's had a hit rate of 15 out of his last 20 games-significantly lower when the pressure's on the road. It's a prime opportunity to bet the under here.

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