Ousmane Dieng (Milwaukee Bucks) Under 1.5 Threes Made (+124)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Milwaukee Bucks prepare to take on the Boston Celtics, all eyes will be on Ousmane Dieng and his three-point shooting. While he's had some solid performances lately, the data suggests that betting on the under for his threes made is the way to go. At home, Dieng averages 1.8 threes, but against the Celtics specifically, he's only hitting 1.5 on average. Given his recent trend of 1.0 threes made in his last five games, it's clear that he's not consistently finding his mark. Plus, with just a 44.6% implied probability of hitting the over, this matchup could be more challenging than it appears. The Bucks' defense will likely tighten up, making it tough for Dieng to find open looks. With his recent home hit rate also suggesting he could struggle, going under 1.5 threes made feels like a savvy play in this crucial matchup.

Neemias Queta (Boston Celtics) Under 8.5 Rebounds (-102)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Celtics roll into Milwaukee, Neemias Queta finds himself in an intriguing spot for this matchup. Sure, he's averaged a solid 9 rebounds over his last five games, but digging deeper reveals a pattern-away from home, he's pulling down just 8.8 boards. What's more telling is his history against the Bucks; Queta has averaged only 5.4 rebounds against them, dipping to 6.7 on the road.With the Bucks boasting a formidable frontcourt, it's reasonable to expect him to struggle to hit that 8.5 mark. Over his last 16 away games, he's only surpassed this number 7 times. Given that Queta's expected stat value sits at 7.85, betting the under seems like a smart play. With the Celtics needing to balance their offense and defense, Queta may find himself limited-setting the stage for a low rebound night against a tough Milwaukee squad.

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