Nashville Predators vs Pittsburgh Penguins : Pittsburgh Penguins win (-130)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The Pittsburgh Penguins are the favored pick due to their superior performance in their recent games. While both teams have struggled in their last five games, the Penguins have fared better with a 2-3 overall record compared to the Predators' 0-5. The Penguins also have a stronger away record (3-2) compared to the Predators' home record (1-4). Furthermore, the Penguins' Goals Against Average is lower (2.4) than the Predators' (3.6), indicating a stronger defense. They also have a higher average of shots (32.2) compared to the Predators' (23.6), suggesting a more aggressive offense. These factors, combined with the model prediction favoring the Penguins, provide a solid statistical basis for betting on the Pittsburgh Penguins in the Moneyline market for this game.
Juuse Saros (Nashville Predators) Over 23.5 Saves (-130)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The betting rationale for Juuse Saros to make over 23.5 saves in the upcoming game against Pittsburgh Penguins is primarily based on his impressive L5 home game performance. Saros has been averaging 30 saves in his last 5 home games, which is significantly higher than the line set by the bookmaker. This suggests that he has a strong tendency to surpass the 23.5 saves mark when playing at home. Despite a current hit streak of 0, Saros has a strong home games hit rate of 4/5, indicating that he frequently exceeds expectations in home games. Furthermore, the model prediction of 25.7 saves, which is above the line, also supports the rationale for this bet. While he's been facing an average of 33.4 shots in his last 5 home games, which is higher than his overall average, Saros has shown a consistent ability to make a high number of saves.
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