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NBA

Jakob Poeltl

Toronto Raptors

+13.1% Edge
🔥 9 Consecutive Hits
Latest Pick
Rebounds Under 9.5 -345 (1.29)
+13.1% Edge
Toronto Raptors @ Cleveland Cavaliers
Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, Cleveland
Sat 18 Apr, 5:00PM
Model Probability
90.6%
Implied Probability
77.5%
Model Edge
+13.1%
Predicted Value
6.3 Rebounds

AI Analysis

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Jakob Poeltl (Toronto Raptors) Under 9.5 Rebounds (-345)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Raptors gear up to face the Cavaliers, all eyes are on Jakob Poeltl's rebounding game. Despite his reputation, the numbers suggest he might struggle to hit the over on 9.5 boards in this matchup. Over the last five games, Poeltl has averaged just 3.6 rebounds overall, and when away, that number climbs to a mere 4.4. Historically, he's faced the Cavaliers with similar struggles, averaging only 11 rebounds in his last five encounters, but that's misleading given his consistent decline on the road.In fact, he's gone under 9.5 in every one of his last six away games. With just a 77.5% implied probability for hitting the over, the under feels like a solid play. Given these trends, it's wise to lean into Poeltl's recent performances and expect him to fall short of that 9.5 mark tonight.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (6 picks) 50.0% (3/6)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
18 Apr 26 Toronto Raptors @ Cleveland Cavaliers Rebounds 9.5 Under -345 ✓ HIT
10 Apr 26 Toronto Raptors @ New York Knicks Pts + Rebs 16.5 Over -108 ✗ MISS
07 Apr 26 Miami Heat @ Toronto Raptors Rebounds 10.5 Under -435 ✓ HIT
05 Apr 26 Toronto Raptors @ Boston Celtics Pts + Rebs Pending
05 Apr 26 Toronto Raptors @ Boston Celtics Pts + Rebs Pending
19 Mar 26 Toronto Raptors @ Chicago Bulls Pts + Rebs + Asts Pending

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About This Player

Jakob Poeltl (Toronto Raptors) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 6 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 50.0% (3/6). Jakob Poeltl is currently on a 9-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Jakob Poeltl is Under 9.5 on Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +13.1% on this pick. Their next game is Toronto Raptors vs Cleveland Cavaliers on Saturday 18 April at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, Cleveland. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.