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Sam Merrill

Cleveland Cavaliers

+10.1% Edge
Latest Pick
Points Under 9.5 -132 (1.76)
+10.1% Edge
Cleveland Cavaliers @ Milwaukee Bucks
Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee
Wed 18 Mar, 12:00AM
Model Probability
66.9%
Implied Probability
56.8%
Model Edge
+10.1%
Predicted Value
6.9 Points

AI Analysis

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Sam Merrill (Cleveland Cavaliers) Under 9.5 Points (-132)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

When the Milwaukee Bucks face off against the Cleveland Cavaliers, keep an eye on Sam Merrill's scoring; we're leaning toward the under on his points total of 9.5. Although he has shown flashes of potential-averaging 10 points in their last five encounters-his recent away performances tell a different story. Merrill has been flat-out inefficient on the road, averaging just 3.6 points in his last five outings away from home. Moreover, his scoring has dropped in high-pressure situations, evidenced by a 9 out of 10 hit rate under this line recently. With the Bucks' deep roster and the Cavaliers' strong defensive setup, Merrill may find it tough to get into a rhythm. It's likely he'll struggle to hit double digits again, making the under a compelling choice for this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (8 picks) 25.0% (2/8)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
18 Mar 26 Cleveland Cavaliers @ Milwaukee Bucks Points 9.5 Under -132 ✗ MISS
18 Mar 26 Cleveland Cavaliers @ Milwaukee Bucks Pts + Asts 11.5 Under -123 ✗ MISS
18 Mar 26 Cleveland Cavaliers @ Milwaukee Bucks Pts + Rebs + Asts 14.5 Under -130 ✗ MISS
18 Mar 26 Cleveland Cavaliers @ Milwaukee Bucks Pts + Rebs Pending
11 Mar 26 Cleveland Cavaliers @ Orlando Magic Pts + Rebs + Asts Pending
11 Mar 26 Cleveland Cavaliers @ Orlando Magic Pts + Rebs Pending

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About This Player

Sam Merrill (Cleveland Cavaliers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 8 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 25.0% (2/8). The latest model pick for Sam Merrill is Under 9.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +10.1% on this pick. Their next game is Cleveland Cavaliers vs Milwaukee Bucks on Wednesday 18 March at Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.