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NBA

Scottie Barnes

Toronto Raptors

+25.8% Edge
Latest Pick
Assists Under 6.5 -114 (1.88)
+25.8% Edge
Toronto Raptors @ Cleveland Cavaliers
Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, Cleveland
Sat 18 Apr, 5:00PM
Model Probability
79.0%
Implied Probability
53.2%
Model Edge
+25.8%
Predicted Value
5.1 Assists

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Scottie Barnes (Toronto Raptors) Under 6.5 Assists (-114)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Raptors roll into Cleveland, all eyes will be on Scottie Barnes, but there's reason to believe he might struggle to hit the over on 6.5 assists. Away from home, his numbers have dipped, averaging just 6.2 assists against the Cavaliers in their last matchup. While he's proven to be a playmaker, his recent form shows he's only cleared this mark in 3 of his last 4 games. Cleveland's defense is known for tightening up, especially against versatile players like Barnes, and they've been particularly effective in limiting assists. With an average of 5.07 expected assists factoring into this matchup, it feels like the under is the safer route. Given that he's only exceeded 6.5 assists in 10 of his last 15 away games, betting on the under seems like a smart play as he navigates a challenging Cavs' defense.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (19 picks) 73.7% (14/19)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
18 Apr 26 Toronto Raptors @ Cleveland Cavaliers Assists 6.5 Under -114 ✗ MISS
18 Apr 26 Toronto Raptors @ Cleveland Cavaliers Rebounds 9.5 Under -345 ✓ HIT
09 Apr 26 Miami Heat @ Toronto Raptors Rebounds 7.5 Under +100 ✓ HIT
09 Apr 26 Miami Heat @ Toronto Raptors Pts + Rebs — — — Pending
09 Apr 26 Miami Heat @ Toronto Raptors Rebounds — — — Pending
09 Apr 26 Miami Heat @ Toronto Raptors Points — — — Pending

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About This Player

Scottie Barnes (Toronto Raptors) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 19 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 73.7% (14/19). The latest model pick for Scottie Barnes is Under 6.5 on Assists. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +25.8% on this pick. Their next game is Toronto Raptors vs Cleveland Cavaliers on Saturday 18 April at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, Cleveland. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.