Ajay Mitchell (Oklahoma City Thunder) Over 13.5 Points + Rebounds (-104)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Oklahoma City Thunder prepare to host the Phoenix Suns, all eyes will be on Ajay Mitchell, especially with the Over on his points and rebounds set at 13.5. While his recent averages may paint a modest picture-9.4 points and 2 rebounds in the last five games-Mitchell shines at home, bumping his scoring to 10.8 points and grabbing 2.6 boards. More crucially, he has a remarkable hit rate of 14 out of his last 18 games at home, suggesting a comfort level that can't be overlooked. Against the Suns, he's historically averaged 7.2 points, and while that's not staggering, the Thunder will need him to step up. With his expected stat value hovering around 17.28, this presents a compelling case for Mitchell to exceed that 13.5 mark. Given the stakes and his strong home performance, this is a prime opportunity for bettors to cash in.

Cason Wallace (Oklahoma City Thunder) Over 8.5 Points + Rebounds (-102)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Cason Wallace is primed to shine in this Sunday showdown against the Phoenix Suns, especially playing on his home court. Lately, he's been more than just a role player; in his last three home games, he's hit double digits in points, averaging 11.8 while pulling down about 3.2 rebounds. This surge is no fluke-against the Suns, he's found success, averaging 11 points and 4 rebounds in their recent encounters at home.What's even more compelling is that he's hit the over on 8.5 in five of his last eight games. With the Thunder needing a strong performance to keep pace, expect Wallace to be heavily involved. The numbers suggest he's poised to exceed that 8.5 mark comfortably, making this a bet worth taking. It's a perfect storm of opportunity and recent form-don't miss the chance to back him!

Dillon Brooks (Phoenix Suns) Over 19.5 Points + Rebounds (-114)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Dillon Brooks is primed for a standout performance against the Oklahoma City Thunder this Sunday. Averaging 16.6 points and 3.6 rebounds over his last five games, he's been a steady contributor. However, his numbers against the Thunder reveal a different story: he's scored an impressive 18.8 points per game in their recent matchups, and 17.2 points when playing away. With an expected stat value of 22.82, Brooks is set to exceed the 19.5 mark comfortably.His recent consistency-hitting the over 11 out of his last 19 games-reveals his potential to elevate his game against a defense that struggles to contain versatile players. As he steps onto the court, the odds are in his favor to surpass that threshold, making this an enticing prop bet for savvy bettors looking to capitalize on his upward trajectory. Look for Brooks to make a statement in this pivotal matchup.

Jordan Goodwin (Phoenix Suns) Under 5.5 Rebounds (-130)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Suns gear up to face the Thunder, keep an eye on Jordan Goodwin's rebound numbers, particularly the under on 5.5. While he's had a solid performance recently, averaging 5.4 rebounds over his last five, his away game stats tell a different story. Goodwin has only managed about 5 boards in his away outings recently, and when he's matched up against the Thunder, that drops to around 3.8.Given the Thunder's athleticism and aggressive rebounding strategy, Goodwin might find it tough to snag those extra boards. Plus, in his last eight games, he's hit the under six times-a sign that he might be settling into a lower rebounding role. With an expected stat value of just 4.32 and a striking away hit rate of 12 out of 16 games, the under feels like a smart play here.

Chet Holmgren (Oklahoma City Thunder) Under 8.5 Rebounds (+106)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Chet Holmgren is a promising talent, but tonight's matchup against the Phoenix Suns may not favor his rebounding numbers as much as you'd hope. Sure, he's averaged 8.8 boards over the last five games, but at home, that number dips to 7.6. This trend is telling, especially as he faces a Suns team known for their perimeter shooting, which tends to lead to fewer rebounds for big men.Moreover, Holmgren's past performances against Phoenix illustrate a clear pattern-he's managed just 7 rebounds on average in their last encounters, and 7.3 at home. With an expected stat value of 7.85, betting the under on 8.5 seems wise. The odds reflect a 48.5% chance of hitting that mark, and given his last four games-where he only cleared 8 boards twice-there's reason to believe he'll struggle tonight. Keep an eye on this one!

See All Our Picks

You're viewing a preview. Subscribe today to unlock the full article and gain access to all our expert insights and best bets - every single day.

Get Bet Better Pro